Showing posts with label Latest Ideas Achieve Financial Freedom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Latest Ideas Achieve Financial Freedom. Show all posts

Thursday, May 13, 2010

How To Invest in Individual Stocks Using EPF Money

Phillip Capital Management (PCM) is one such company licensed by Securities Commission and an approved Fund Manager for EPF. In order to invest your EPF money with Phillip Capital to buy individual stocks, you will need to first of all satisfy the criteria set by EPF as summarised in my previous article "Can You Invest In Individual Stocks Using EPF Money?"

Calculation example:

Procedure:

  1. Fill up the application Form KWSP 9F (AHL) which you can download from EPF website or visit your nearest EPF office.
  2. Download or obtain a copy of the latest EPF statement
  3. In the Form, indicate the amount you are entitled to withdraw and submit it to PCM, together with a copy of your MyKad, and that's about all!
  4. PCM will then submit the relevant documents to EPF for processing, which is expected to complete within 2 to 4 weeks.
  5. Once completed, the funds will be transferred into your PCM trust account.
  6. You may start to purchase any of your desirable stocks using PCM's online trading platform.
Upon disposing the stocks, the funds will be returned to the PCM trust account. Upon termination of account, the funds will be reverted back to your EPF Account 1.

Other noteworthy Terms & Conditions:
- upfront fee of 3% chargeable by PCM. Withdrawal from EPF is free of charge;
- annual management fee of 1.5% is chargeable by PCM;
- normal on-line trading brokerage & admin charges at about 0.55% of transaction amount is payable;
- minimum holding period is 1 year. Termination only upon one month's written notification thereafter;
- minimum investment is RM30k but can be broken down into trunks starting with RM10k, as long as the minimum amount is satisfied within one year;
- Stocks are only applicable for equity stocks, excluding warrants or any other preferential stocks

Do manage your risks before investing! Best to adopt defensive strategy as EPF money is not meant for excessive speculation!


Can You Invest In individual Stocks Using EPF Money?


Many people are probably aware that they can withdraw money from their EPF (Employees Provident Fund) savings to invest in ministry approved Unit Trust funds. However, many are probably not aware that there is also a way to invest the EPF money on individual Bursa Malaysia stocks!

Some people prefer the idea of leaving the tough decisions on choosing the right investments with Unit Trust Fund Managers but in doing so, they effectively relinquish control over how the money will be invested. Ironically, the objective of Fund Managers are often to safeguard their jobs, instead of looking after investors' best interest, i.e., make money and return on investments!

On average, EPF's average annual rate of dividend is between 5% to 6%. The rate of return is no doubt better than Fixed Desposits (FD) return but for the savvy or wise investors, this sort of return is barely sufficient to counter inflation! (By the way, forget about the so-called officially reported inflation rate of 2% to 3% because the reality is much higher than that!)

So instead of keeping all your money in EPF or leave the money with someone else, why not consider moving some money from EPF to investing in individual stocks of your choice? Without doubt, there are risks with this approach because one can potentially lose this hard earned money if the wrong choice of stocks is chosen! With the stock market being so volatile, you may think that this is extremely risky!

To mitigate the risk, one of the key success factor is through first of all doing a little bit of homework up-front and selecting stocks or companies that possess good quality and fundamentals, plus supported with decent dividend yield. To be comparable with the annual rate of dividend from EPF, one should look for dividend yield that can at least match EPF's if not better. A scan across some of the quality Bursa stocks will reveal that a number of companies under REITs and consumer businesses generally do fit such criteria!

So how do you qualify to withdraw funds from EPF for the above investment? Let's list down some of the salient points:

  1. savings of at least RM5,000 more than the Basic Savings amount required in Account 1, and must be equal or below 55 years old. The basic savings is the minimum amount you must have in Account 1 before you can apply under this scheme. The table below shows the different minimum savings required for people of different ages:


    2) 20% from your savings in excess of your Basic Savings amount in your Account 1, that means the minimum amount for investment withdrawal is RM1,000.00, given the condition set in point (1).

    3) Formula of eligibility = (Account 1 – Basic Savings) x 20%.
    4) Investment can be made at the intervals of 3 months from the date of the last transfer, subject to the availability of the required balance in Account I.
    5) Investment must be through appointed external Fund Manager by the Ministry of Finance. Click here for the complete list.

    I hope this gives you an idea of an alternative form of investing, for your hard-earned savings that you can't simply screw up, i.e., EPF. In my next post, I shall touch on precisely how you can invest in individual Bursa stocks using your EPF funds and the inherent costs that you should be aware of.

    Here's the link to EPF should you require further clarification.


Friday, March 26, 2010

Is US stock market on verge of another big rally?

Some experts say investors are starting to believe that the U.S. stock market is on the verge of another big rally.

The fact is, Dow Jones Industrial Index have just posted new high above 10,800 compared to previous high posted in January 2010.

US's National Association of Realtors reported a drop in homes sales last month that wasn't as steep as forecast.

However, the report on housing was typical of recent economic numbers that have been somewhat better than expected but still point to a weak economy.

For now, it appears the sales numbers aren't disrupting hopes that the economy can recover even if there is only a slow stabilizing in the housing market.

A month ago, investors shrugged off an 11.2% drop in sales of new homes.

The market's continuing advance has been welcome but analysts are divided over whether stocks have run too far or if they have more to gain because of improvements in the economy. The story on investors is that they are afraid of missing out on further gains, after seeing the Dow making new highs.

On the other hand, investors seem optimistic about the health of corporate earnings for the January to March quarter.

Also, unlike the developed nations, Asia (excluding Japan) is still growing and certainly is the place to be at least for the next couple of decades. So despite America's and Europe's problems, it's a mere fact that there are certainly plenty of light at the end of tunnel elsewhere! It's a certainty that American companies will follow suit where the money is.

However, the issue on sovereign debts of Dubai and Greece has still not gone away, despite plenty or reassurances from various party.

As always, there are two sides of the coin to look at. One can be optimist or pessimist. May be one more for being neutral? Whatever it is, I always believe in following the trend, and that's where the smart money is. Current trend obviously still point to the north (up trend), supported by relatively strong volumes, amidst intermittent signals of danger looms!

Why do I say so? Well, simply the hot money (or better termed as liquidity) is still there, no matter what people say. The smart money has come to the realization that money has to be invested and parked somewhere (to counter inflationary stress), no matter fundamentally it's right or wrong!

However, the musical chair will stop one day of course....So until then, let the party moves on.



Thursday, October 15, 2009

Is Gold Truly A Safe Haven?

Following my post on "How To Invest In Gold?", I received a number of queries on whether investing in gold is truly safe as projected by many investors or analysts.

For the matter, i can assure you that all investments come with risks, with gold being no exception.

With gold prices reaching record highs and recently exceeding USD1,000 per ounce, there were many bullish calls for gold to scale even higher!

Before you decide to jump into the gold rush, i recommend you to first read this new book written by Doug Eberhardt. The title of the book is "Buy Gold Safely". The book reveals the importance of gold, how you can keep your gold investment secured, the underlying secrets of gold investing that the experts do not want you to know, common pitfalls to avoid while investing in gold and much more!

Click Here!

Although some of the information contained in this book are slightly outdated, it certainly pays to understand how gold mechanism works and why it is absolutely critical in preserving our wealth and maintaining a balanced investment portfolio!

On the other hand, do not make the mistake of simply assuming investing in gold at any time is good! Remember the big correction in gold prices in 2008 from the peak of 1000 to the low of 712? Understanding the state of affairs and a sense of timing are still essential!

Click Here!

Friday, October 9, 2009

How To Invest In Gold?


Arguably, gold is the only investment asset class in the world that is widely perceived to be the safe investment haven. Many investors will therefore choose to invest in this precious metal as part of their wealth preservation and creation strategy.

During last two years, when all the asset classes have failed to perform, gold is the only investment asset that has remained outperformed. As such, Gold is also widely believed to be the best hedge against the U.S. dollar and inflation. When U.S. Dollar falls, demand for gold is set to increase as investors sought to preserve their wealth. In addition, gold has a very low correlation with other asset classes like equity and debt thereby it's a very good asset to diversify for the overall portfolio.

The most direct way of investing in gold is to purchase the physical gold bullion directly from financial institutions or dealer. You can then choose to safe keep the gold yourself or the safer alternative is to keep them in a secured vault owned by third party such as banks.

Instead of holding physical gold bullion, there are a number of other forms of investment in gold without the need to hold physical stock. In Malaysia, both Maybank and Public Bank offer the convenience of gold investment account with a passbook, whereby every trade is done through the account without the involvement of physical stock. Transactions are highly liquid as the buying and selling are based on the bank's prevailing quoted buying and selling prices.

Other means of gold investment (without physical delivery) include Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), unit trusts (mutual funds) and also the choice of investing directly in gold mining companies.

Gold ETFs are open-ended mutual funds that are passively managed and they mirror the return of spot price of gold. Gold ETFs are listed and traded on stock exchanges just like stocks. As such, the cost of trading Gold ETFs is lower compared to mutual fund type of investment. Gold ETFs provide returns, which before expenses, closely correspond to the returns provided by physical gold. Each unit is approximately equal to the price of 1 gram.

Some of the most popular regional gold ETFs and mutual funds include:
- DWS Invest Gold and Precious metals Equities (listed in Singapore)
- United Gold & General Fund (listed in Singapore)
- DWS Noor Precious Metals Securities A USD (listed in Singapore)
- SPDR Gold Trust ETF (listed in U.S., Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan)

Here you are some of the gold investment vehicles available for your consideration, should you decide to get hold of one of the world's most highly sought after precious metal!

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Exchange Traded Fund vs Mutual Fund (Unit Trust)

During an uptrend market like the current, you may consider to invest in an index linked security (alternatively also known as tracker fund) instead of trying to pick the right stock. An index linked security essentially links its performance according to the broad market index performance, such as Dow Jones Industrial Index or Malaysia's FBMKLCI. Locally in Malaysia, there are many index-linked unit trust funds available in the market. However, before you consider parting your money in an index-linked Fund, understand your cost of investment and consider the alternative such as ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds).



ETFs are baskets of securities that trade like stocks on an exchange and are designed to track the performance of an index. Examples are FBM KLCI ETF Fund and MyETF Dow Jones Islamic Market Malaysia Titans 25, the first Syariah compliant ETF in Asia.

Investors who want to buy an index linked unit trust fund may be better off buying the ETF which does exactly the same. The obvious benefit is that the cost of ETF is cheaper. This is because there are no management and upfront fees, unlike unit trusts.

 The upfront fees for unit trust in Malaysia on average is about 3% to 5% but could be as high as 7%!

Besides, a unit trust fund may charge up to 1.5% a year on management fee, which is much higher than the 0.5% charged by the FBM KLCI ETF.

Buying ETF is exactly the same as buying a stock, with the same lot size of 100 units. Unlike unit trust, buying and selling ETF is easy and traded real-time. Dividend is also distributed by ETFs generally on a half yearly basis.

So next time when you were to be approached by unit trust salesperson, find out about the cost of investment first. Don't let the hidden charges affect your fund performance.

Saturday, August 8, 2009

Is Margin Trading Right For You?


Leverage your money. That's what many of us have often been told or practising. However, not all forms of leveraging is good. For example, not repaying fully your credit card bills and servicing high amount of interests is not a good way of leveraging. To sum it up, you need to weigh the cost and benefits of such leveraging and the associated risk before jumping into it. If the cost outweighs the benefits and comes with high risk, such form of leveraging is obviously not for us!

In equity trading, there are generally two forms of account, being cash account and margin account. Cash account simply means you pay cash up front, before purchasing shares. In countries where settlement period (T+x day) is allowed, full settlement has to be made upon the maturity of the settlement period. Margin account, on the other hand, allows an investor to purchase more shares than his cash deposit allows, normally two times the amount. For example, supposed you have $10,000 in cash deposit, you are allowed to purchase up to $20,000 worth of shares. The other $10,000 is like a form of borrowing from you broker or securities firm, in which they will charge you interest (for the amount of borrowing) based on prescribed interest rates calculated on a daily basis.

Effectively, this is a form of leveraging. Question is, is this a good form of leveraging? Let's explore the advantages and the inherent risks.

Quite clearly, margin trading allows you to trade more than what you have, and therefore, allows you to make more money if your share price projection turns out to be correct. However, the same holds true (i.e., more losses) if the share price goes against your direction!

Here's the added risk when the direction of the share price goes against you. When the amount of shareholding falls below a certain predetermined amount (by the broker or securities firm), the broker is entitled to issue a margin call. What a margin call simply means is that you will need to top up the shortfall immediately or latest by the next business day.

For example, supposed you have cash deposit of $10,000 and you have bought shares worth $20,000. Let's say share prices have gone down by $6,000 and you now have $14,000 remaining. Your net cash position now is %$4,000 ($10k - $6k loss). Assuming margin requirement is 30%. you will need to maintain a minimum of $4,200 ($14k * 30%). In this case, there will be a margin call given your net cash position runs below the safety margin.

Failure to top up within the set timeline will render the broker disposing your shares. Worst of all, it can be done without your knowledge!

To further add salt to the wound, your losses could be blown out of proportion as you continue to top up your margin but the market further deteriorates against your expectation!

You need to be also aware that the amount borrowed incurs interest on a daily basis. As such, it is an added cost of investment. As such, there are holding costs should you decide to hold on to a stock.

In conclusion, my advice is do not trade margin account unless you absolutely understood the kind of risk that you are dealing with and is prepared to take on such risk without major adverse consequences. Personally, I do not and will never trade with a margin facility. Simply, it's way beyond my tolerance of risks!

Monday, August 3, 2009

How To Invest In Overseas Equity Market?


For those who would like to diversify their portfolio investments beyond the local shore, this article sets to explore the ways to do so. Just to emphasize, I am articulating on direct or active investment instead of passive investment such as investing in unit trusts.

Thanks to globalisation and increased investors' appetite for better investment returns, many Malaysians have started investing offshore (In part this is also due to the fact that Malaysia stock market is no longer favoured by foreigners and is lagging far behind stockmarkets in Hong Kong, China or even Singapore in both performance and liquidity).

If you are interested in investing in multiple key global markets, the one that instantly comes to my mind is Interactive Brokers (IB). IB offers a very comprehensive list of financial markets to invest in, ranging from North America (U.S, Canada, Mexico) to Europe and Asia Pacific (Australia, Hong Kong, India and Japan) region. The products offered are also wide ranging, from equity to forex, derivatives, bonds, ETFs, CFDs and so on.

IB's brokerage rate is also one of the lowest available. For instance, to trade in U.S. stocks, the brokerage charge is only US$0.50 per lot (of 100 shares) with a minimum $1 brokerage per order!

Application for an account can be done easily through the web (online). Even Agreements can be digitally "signed" online! The only manual work which you need to provide them is a copy of your Passport and a signed copy of certain local Authority Form such as W-8BEN in the case of trading in U.S. For added convenience, you may fax them a copy of these documents or simply scan and email a copy to them.

One word of caution though, the trading software for IB is not that user friendly. So it may take some time for you to get used to it. However, step-by-step guides are readily available from their website. All you need to do is to run the videos.

For those who are interested in trading in the U.S. market only, my preferred broker is ThinkorSwim (ToS). Brokerage rate is higher at $1.50 per lot or fixed at $9.95 per trade (whichever is lower and subject to a maximum of 50 lots for fixed rate) but the trading software is much more user friendly and feature packed. Among them include the ability to display multiple chart patterns all in one screen.

The beauty about these online brokers is that you can also do virtual trading, that is, trade without real money! This will give you a sense of better confidence before starting real trades, and is ideal for beginners who would like to get familiarise with the trading platform and/or test certain trading strategies.

To start real trading, you will need to deposit funds first into the trading account. In other words, there is no more T+x day type of settlement. All trades are cash up front but you may choose to trade with a margin facility.

Funds can be easily transferred from your local banking account to the U.S. designated account using wired transfer or more commonly known as Telegraphic Transfer (TT) in Malaysia. You will need to bear the TT charges (charged by both local and foreign banks) as you do the transfer. Just inform the broker about the transfer and they will notify you once the amount is successfully banked in. Normally, this should happen within the same business day.

Trading platform is much more sophisticated compared to our local markets as you can literally set your trading criteria (e.g., entry price, stop loss and profit target) and walk away without ever watching the screen again! You can even set orders such as market order, stop order with or without limit and OCO (One Cancel Other) orders. Once you learn how to do it, trading is very easy and a peace of mind in case you are busy at work or go to sleep!

Other than signing up with online brokers, the other viable option is to trade via your local investment bankers or stock brokers. A number of local Investment brokers have for the past couple of years rollout offshore trading in order to cater for this increased interests. Among the Investment Brokers offering this service include CIMB, OSK, Kenanga, Maybank and RHB Investment Bank.

However, do take note that this type of trading is not done online. The arrangement is between yourself and your local broker. Orders can be instructed by you and your broker will forward the trade instruction with their respective counterpart in the particular country of trade. Exchange rate is determined by the broker on the day of trade. There is no standard brokerage rates apply so you will need to verify with your preferred broker before trading. There will also be some signing of paperwork required before you want to start trading offshore.

Generally, this type of 3rd party or indirect trading will be more costly than online trading. It will probably be fine if you do not intend to trade offshore frequently and do not have the time or patience to learn a new trading platform. Also bear in mind that there will be a delayed trading execution given the offline mode of instruction and involvement of 3rd party.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Capital Gain vs Cash Flow

When it comes to making a decision on investing, would you choose one based on the criteria of capital gain or cash flow? It's a tough one, isn't it? Frankly, the answer varies from person to person. However, i would say that for most ordinary people, they would prefer capital gain.

Let's quote an example, suppose you purchase an asset for x amount of dollar and sold it for a nice 40% gain in 3 years, versus you purchase an asset for the same amount that gives you say 8% annual return in the form of dividend or rental for instance, and the asset only appreciates less than 5% a year. For most people, they would probably go for the first example, where higher capital gain is made. After all, it sounds more convincing and exciting when you tell your friends or business partners that you have pocketed handsomely in this deal!

Question is, what do you do with the money gained thereafter? Most commonly, there is always a lurking temptation to spend on luxury items when you have spare cash in hand, be it a luxury holiday, fancy car, watches, etc. After all, why wouldn't you want to pamper yourself a "little" for closing a wonderful deal! Nothing wrong with pampering yourself sometimes (good way to recharge the batteries!), but it's the quantum of spending unecessarily that you would want to take caution of. Bear in mind, spending unnecessarily means you are giving away an opportunity to make money work for you in the future!

On the other hand, can you find another opportunity that can give you similarly good financial returns after this? Chances are you may not. So you will end up with plenty of cash on hand and as time passes, the temptation to spend grows!

For me personally, although short term capital gain sounds sweet and exciting, there is no guarantee that a particular investment will yield the expected capital gain. Therefore the risk increases. On the other hand, human nature to spend unnecessarily is also a lurking danger. On the contrary, an investment that can generate a regular streams of income (cash flow) is perceived to be lower risk and helps to sustain your own personal financial position in the longer term. To take one step further, go for investments which generate positive cash flows.

Positive cash flow simply refers to the excess regular income generated by an asset after deducting all the relevant expenses in deriving the particular income. A good example is property rental income where the tenant will pay the property owner rental every month as long as the property remains tenanted.

A good point of comparison is between landed property and rental yield property such as high rise residential apartment. Landed property has bigger potential for capital gain (but not guaranteed) but poor rental yield. That means extra burden having to regularly service the commitment from your own pocket and opportunity cost! On the contrary, good high rise apartment may not generate as high capital gain but gives much better return when it comes to rental yield. In this case, the tenant will finance your property but the property is still owned by you!

A long lasting positive cash flow will help a person or a business to survive and sustain longer, without the need to continuously spend more money and therefore sacrificing other opportunities. As you build more businesses or acquire assets that generate positive cash flows over time, you will find that you have truly gained the ultimate goal of financial freedom!

Nevertheless, that doesn't mean you should ignore capital gain all together! Why not the best of both worlds? According to Robert Kiyosaki, the key to financial intelligence is how to use both cash flow and capital gains to grow wealthy. So many people are not successful, because they’re generally focusing on only one of the two.

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Discovering Relationship Between Dollar & Oil

Do you ever wonder if the strength of US Dollar that you are holding affects the price of oil or vice-versa? Here's an interesting article written on its likely relationship and perhaps put you in a better guidance when you should invest in the commodity of crude oil and/or gold.

Since the beginning of the year, the price of crude oil has increased by more than 30% from US$43 a barrel in January to a high of US$60 in mid-May. This could boil down to multiple factors, including improved growth prospects, speculation and the weakness of the US dollar. In addition, the outlook for economic giants the US and China has improved materially over the past month, leading many people to believe that the worst of the global recession is almost over.

US and Chinese economic data, along with comments from central bankers seem to support this rosy outlook. Early this month, US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke told the US Congress that the recession is easing and that growth should take place by year-end. Most other central bankers expect their countries to return to positive growth in 2010. Given that oil prices
plummeted in the second half of 2008 because of deleveraging and the fear of a deep
recession, the promise of a brighter tomorrow is driving oil prices higher. However, a slower pace of contraction and the prospect of increased demand are not the only reasons oil prices are higher.

Recent US dollar weakness is contributing to the recovery. Of course, many people will argue
that the US dollar is weaker because the US economy is doing better, which is true, but the
relationship between oil prices and the US dollar’s value is too significant to ignore.

Since the beginning of 2008, the correlation between oil prices and the US-dollar index has
been roughly -0.90. In other words, 90% of the time, when the US-dollar index falls, oil prices
rise.

The chart below shows the tight correlation between the two instruments:
Here's the argument for dollar driving the price of oil:
- Oil is priced in US dollars. According to OPEC, the relationship between oil prices and the dollar is almost mechanical. When the dollar falls, oil prices have to go up in dollar terms to stay constant in euro terms. Oil producers receive their oil revenues in US dollars and need to be compensated for the fluctuations of the greenback. This does not always hold true, of course, otherwise the correlation would not have broken in the beginning of the year.

Here's the argument for oil price driving the dollar:
- A study by the IMF in 1996 found that a 10% rise in the real price of oil induces a 2% real depreciation in a typical OPEC's real exchange rate. This should not be completely surprising because higher oil prices do result in higher cost of oil imports for the US, leading to a higher current account and trade deficit, which is US-dollar bearish. It also affects growth. When oil prices were nearing US$150 a barrel, gasoline prices in the US went as high as US$4 a gallon or more. It's like a tax on consumers and significantly affected companies!

The conclusion is that the relationship between oil prices and the US dollar is both schizophrenic and symbiotic. When oil prices were hitting record highs in July 2008, it can be argued that the price of oil was driving the value of the US dollar because of concerns about the strain it would have on the US economy. However, currently it is more likely that the dollar is driving the price of oil because the outlook for global demand is not clear and investors are less focused on the impact that higher oil prices can have on trade than they are on its signal of stronger growth.

The full article can be found at Moneyshow.com.

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

The Age of Buy and Hold Is Over?

Based on various feedback, this is a mixed view. Some say the age of "buy and hold" stocks and/or equity related investments is simply over, simply due to the fact that economy and business are cyclical in nature. For instance, many stocks (even the bluest of blue chips) effectively wiped out the entire gains made during the last 10 years in just one year of global economic crisis last year!

On the other hand, others say that adopting the "buy and hold" strategy is the best strategy to investing as it is not possible to time the market in terms of peaks and troughs.

Personally for me, the "buy and hold" strategy will not work at turbulent times like this as every single company 's market share will be severely affected by sentiment. Instead of "buy and hold", the likely apprroach during such time in fact is "dump first, think later"! The objective of course, is capital preservation.

However, the strategy of "buy and hold" may make sense during market bull rally. For instance, US market went through a 5 year up trend from 1995 to 1999, followed by from Year 2003 to 2007. Notice that market went through a 3 year correction from year 2000 to year 2002. Assuming the stock price performance is correlated to the index, it would be wise to take some profit during initial market downtrend instead of waiting out for the unknown.

Year 2007 to date performance is a classic example where things really turn nasty! For those who hold on to their investments, chances are the entire gain built up over the last 10 years or so may be wiped off completely! Is it worth while to continue with the gung ho approach then?

So the question is how do you tell the market is undergoing bullish trend or bearish trend then?

Answer lies with Technical Analysis. As technical chartists often say, the charts do not lie! Mind you, technical charts are no crystal ball! They serve the purpose of serving a strategic or tactical guide, based on market "psychology" which will be reflected in the chart. As one say, the Trend is your Friend! Do not fight against the trend when it comes to trading or Investing! Tonnes of hard earned gains accumulated over the years could well be wiped off in an instant!

At the end of day, trade or invest with the trend rather than fighting it. One may not be able to time the market perfectly but at the minimum invest with proper risk management in place is the key to long term success.

Similarly, one needs to know when to cash out when the trend changes. No point be the hero. After all, IT'S YOUR MONEY!

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Read This Only If You Are Serious In Changing Your Financial Life Forever!

I wasn't convinced but I am now! Before I attended this program, i was just as sceptical as you do...reading the same headline. I thought i knew everything there is to be financially successful but I soon realize that what i lack is a solid financial blueprint of wealthy and successful people. Mind you, a solid financial blueprint, is not just all about money but also about having the right positive and balanced state of mind!

Have you ever wondered why some people seem to get rich easily, while others are destined for a life of financial struggle?

Over the years since we were a child, our minds have been conditioned to think a certain way about money and success. If you have not realized it, this is one of the most important factor affecting our finances today!

You need to unwind these conditioning, and learn how to identify and change your personal money and success blueprint, FOREVER!

Introducing Millionaire Mind Intensive, a program that has touched and helped more than half a million people worldwide and is now coming to Asia!

If you are serious in changing your financial life forever, this is certainly an event not to be missed! Besides, it does not cost you an arm and a leg to attend this program as they are giving a very special promotion price that will simply blow your mind off! (Trust me, it will!)

Click this link now to find out more. To register, all you need to do is go to the bottom of the page, pick the appropriate date and venue, and then fill in the information as required.

This is certainly a weekend worth sacrificing for.....To me, it's one of the best I have ever attended and it has certainly changed my financial life for the better, FOREVER! I sincerely hope you are the next to benefit too.

Click here: A Weekend That Will Change Your Financial Life, Forever!

P.S.: This is a definite sell-out program. You need to register fast before the seats are gone! FYI, the special promotion price is only valid until 30th April 2009. So Act now!

P.P.S: Be honest with yourself! This program is not suitable for people who continue to live their lives in self-denial! One way is to look at your own results!

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Options Trading For Beginners

Due to the current financial and economic crisis in U.S., I have started evaluating some stocks in the U.S. Before 2008, trading in U.S. stocks would certainly require deep pockets, particularly for myself due to my country's unfavourable exchange rates ($1 to RM3.5 on average). Never in my life could I imagine stocks in U.S. could one day be trading at such low prices! eg., financial giant like Citigroup trading below $1? GE trading below $6? There are many other examples, such as General Motors and AIG. Then of course, these stocks were trading at such low levels due to their own respective unprecedented crisis!

So I started putting some money into U.S. stocks and thankfully, i made some decent gains in a short period of time. Having a solid trading plan knowing when to enter and exit was the critical success factor. By the way, adopting buy and hold strategy no longer works these days in my opinion, due to the volatile nature of markets and frankly, no one knows for sure whether the markets have bottomed. So why take on the risk of hitting the unknown?

Precisely. But here's a problem. Investing in U.S. stocks means that I will still need to pump in a sizeable amount of money to trade (bearing in mind my unfavourable exchange rate)! There comes to my mind options trading which I had heard so many times before but have very little knowledge of. Options trading utilises the power of leveraging on stocks and is a very powerful form of derivative instrument. So powerful that even Mr. Warren Buffett is fearful of (as he recently criticised as one of the major cause of stock market crash).

As I recalled, I had contemplated to learn options trading in June last year but I dropped the notion because I was not ready then (Please refer to my archived post entitled "Do I Need Options"). Now I believe I am ready to explore this new frontier (new, at least for me...) and to uncover it's perceived power of leveraging and to unlock the myth of successful options trading.

Haven't attended numerous previews of Options Trading learning courses in the past and feedback from numerous ex-students and friends who ventured into options trading, I was certainly skeptical on which Options Trading trainer or course would actually deliver the goods. My attempted research through the internet was of little benefit too as no website content would reveal satisfactory practical knowledge on options trading. Finally, I had little choice but to take a calculated gamble by learning from a fee-based course.

Next I shall reveal which course I have selected and my ground up review.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Shall I Accept A Lower Loan Installment?


In view of the current low interest rates environment due to global economic crisis, costs of borrowings have become cheaper and if we were to base on the original loan facility agreement with the bank, the repayment period for the affected loans will be shortened, assuming the same amount of installment were to be paid each month. In some countries, banks are required to voluntarily reduce the monthly installment amount of loans so that the repayment period will not be shortened. In some cases, banks even allow troubled borrowers to stop payment for a specific period of time, or willingly negotiate with the borrower to restructure the terms of loan. The objective of this is simple, that is, reduce the burden on consumers and/or businesses in a challenging time like this.

Some people have sought my opinion whether to accept the reduction in installment amount. My answer to that is why not, even if one has no financial difficulties! After all, one could save a fair amount of commitment each month and assuming one has multiple loans (like myself), the amount of savings each month can be quite sizeable.

There are many advantages reduced commitment can bring to the equation. Among them include:
- excess funds for spending on goods and services. Flow of funds and spending are essential for the growth of economy. An environment without consumer and business spending will just make the already stale situation worse off!

- pay off debts which carry a higher interest rates than one's mortgage loan. Credit card debt is an obvious example. This could lead to significant savings in cost of debt.

- best of all, use the savings from the excess funds to invest wisely. Given that many investment grade assets have been bashed down badly during the past one to two years, great bargains are abundant! For instance, stockmarket is expected to give the best return once the global economy recovers. So for those who have not acquired the knowledge of investing, now is the best time to educate yourself, before it's too late!

Also, keeping extra cash in your pocket at the time of crisis is definitely a wise thing to do. After all, we will not know what may happen next. For instance, job retrenchment, business failure, etc, may just pop up down the road, especially if the economy gets worsen.

One word of caution though, do not expect every bank will voluntarily reduce the installment for you. I know for some banks, you will actually have to write in to request for the reduction. So do not just assume this will be done automatically. Go ASK YOUR BANK now!

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

How To Invest At A Point of Maximum Pessimism

Want to know how to invest at the point of maximum pessimism (given current stock market's doldrums)? Below is an experts' view on investing techniques at current market pessimism and where Malaysia stands from both economic and technical perspective.

The live interview was conducted by TheStar newspaper on 20th February 2009. This video may be a tad back-dated but the interviewees certainly gave a full-hearted and frank opinion on current business and market conditions, and sharing good ideas on investing for better future returns.

Here's the video. Enjoy.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Belated Santa Rally?

Just when the expected year-end (2008) window-dressing activity (or commonly known as Santa Rally) for global stock markets ended with much disappointment, global stock markets have surprisingly started the year with resolute intention! The chart below shows selective global market performance over the first 2 to 3 days of trading.


Having a sense of too good to be true, especially after so many false starts and suckers rally?

This may well be an exception! In my opinion, key global markets are possibly gearing up for a mini-rally this month, particularly after such a severe bear beating last year. So, there is a good chance we may experience more than just a technical rebound. After such a devastating and disappointing stock market performance in 2008, where key global markets plummeted from around 30% to more than 60%. The start of the year saw fund managers worldwide jostling to position their portfolios for the new year and the bombed out stocks worldwide, a scenario that has not happened for a very long time.

In Malaysia, the reasonably high average daily Bursa volume of about 700 million seem to support the notion too, suggesting there were plenty of buying support, on top of the more than 5% gain in 3 days.

However, bear in mind that this does not mean we have seen market bottom. It's just market "forces" at play at the moment.

While the US Government is doing what they possibly can to salvage the wreckage back home, the story in Asia may just be the beginning of a severe slowdown. Hence, the worst may have yet to happen in Asia. On a conservative note, economic recovery may be more realistic in 2010 than the second part of 2009.

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Beware Of The High Yield Trap


Many analysts and advisers have been recommending high dividend yield stocks as one of the most effective and defensive instrument against the current beaten down and volatile markets. The principal to follow here is that as long as you are buying or holding on to stocks that continues to distribute decent percentage of dividend on an annual basis, you are assured of receiving at least a decent amount of dividend income, as a cushion against the possible slide in share prices.

The dividend yield is calculated as the amount of dividend per share against the share price. The projected yield is therefore taking into account the future projected earnings and the average dividend distribution ratio. Instances where companies are committed to a certain percentage of their net earnings as dividend distribution augurs well for such defensive strategy.

However, beware of the earning trap, before you jump out of the bandwagon and start collecting high yield stocks!

Technically, as every country is experiencing recession or severe economic slowdown, so will the corporate earnings! This is inevitable as business and consumer confidence will surely take a hit, whether one likes it or not. In some cases, business could be driven down by slower and lesser demand, thus driving them out of business. In most cases, people could well be taking a more cautious or "wait-and-see" approach, thus limit spending. Bnnks on the other hand, are more likely to take a cautious approach to lending, although liquidity may still be abundant. This literally reduces credit availability in the market and ultimately increases cost of borrowing. All-in-all, business and consumer spending sentiment will be affected.

As the above takes place over a period of time, it remains to be seen the degree of severity of the business downturn. As you can see now, more of more companies are reporting lower than expected corporate earnings recently.

As such, one has to review carefully the forecasted earnings of companies before taking the defensive high yielding approach. When the chips are down, do not be surprised that companies may actually declare lower dividends or even cancel them altogether in order to preserve cash (for rainy days)!

Look out for companies that are least affected by the economic slowdown and consistently payout dividends through rain or shine. Companies in the utility sector (such as power generator) may be one of them.

Monday, December 15, 2008

Is It Much Easier To Make Your Second Million Than First?


According to surveys in the US, most millionaires are not made by winning the lottery, a brilliant business idea or through inheritance. Most do it the steady way via disciplied savings and investing. But how hard is it to achieve a million this way?

Let's say you start with nothing in the bank and put away $1,000 a month. With income increases and bonuses, let's assume you add to the savings at the rate of 5% a year. After one year, you would be putting away an average of $1,050 a month. With an average return of 8% per annum, you would hit the $1 million within 22 years!

But then, here's the bad news. In 22 years, your million would be worth only about $340,000, assuming annual inflation rate of 5%.

The good news is, given that the assumptions are right, your second million will be much easier to achieve. It the rate of savings remains, the second million would be made in another seven years. The third million, you would make in another four years. Even if you stop contributing after you reach the first million, the second million would be made in nine years, less than half the time it took to accumulate the first million.

If you put away $1,000 a month without increasing your savings, you would go from zero to $1million in 26 years and $2million in 35 years.

In a nutshell, most of the effort is spent in accumulating that first million. Once you get to that level, the magic of compounding and the opportunities that will open up to you, will help you get that second and third million.

They say the rich gets richer, and that is really true.

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

It's Time To Think About The Future


A piece of advice for investors who have little time to monitor market's daily movement, don't know much about technical analysis, but appreciate long term value and can look beyond the present crisis....

Buy low, sell high...Sure, it sounded simple but in reality, no one can truly predict when is the low or lowest! So, instead of trying to time the market at perfection and fear for losing the plot, let's look at an alternative approach where you can better manage risks and emotions.

For many, it is often hard to think about the world in the next five years from now. It is even harder to think about things that have yet to happen. Still, decisions with your investments should depend on future potential instead of what is happening now and in the past.

A long-term perspective means looking at the potential for your asset in the next five-years. If so, then don’t panic if you have not exited the market earlier and your portfolio is down.

Time to do some reshuffling (asset reallocation) and do not hesitate to chop down the dead woods. If you have wrongly invested in certain assets, cut the losses and shift the funds to the ones with the highest potential for recovery and value growth over the next five years.

Bear in mind, markets react in anticipation of the actual event. As such, you just can't wait to enter the market only until the economy has recovered. On average, markets will react six months in advance of actual. Therefore, it is a calculated risk. For example, if you believe that the global economy will turn better in the second half of 2009, 1st quarter of 2008 may well be the major turning point.

Dollar-cost Averaging is one technique where you can look at to consistently accumulate promising assets going forward. Set aside a certain percentage of your income and keep to the discipline by investing the money on a regular basis (common is monthly). However, make sure the money you set aside are not meant for emergency purposes and is relatively free from emotion, in case you have to bear some short term losses in the event the asset value goes lower.

Remember this, abundance of wealth can be best created during crisis! Now is not the time to feel sorry but to look ahead for opportunities!

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Start Buying Now, Seriously?


This is a recent interesting article that i would like to share with my readers. The author claims that it is now the right timing to re-enter equity markets.

Warren Buffett proclaimed that it is now time to buy American stocks, and he certainly led by example. Bear in mind given that Warren is the top 2 richest man on earth, his words are definitely not to be taken lightly.

However, there are also many doomsayers who claim that the worst is yet to come. At the same time, many so-called investment gurus were criticising Warren. They said he was irrelevant to the new economy in 1999, when he refused to buy technology shares. They say he didn’t understand the situation when he said that financial derivatives were “financial weapons of mass destruction” back in 2002. And now they say that he is simply trying to talk up his own investments, when he said recently to “Buy America”. These things they say of the world’s most successful investor. Nobody remembers these “they”, but Warren Buffet continues to make loads of money from his investments.

The reasons in favour of things will get worse include:
1) This time is different, because this is an unprecedented global economic slowdown!
For this reason, the author argued that of course it's always different. After all, if it wasn’t different, no one would panic, and no one would sell their shares, and stock markets wouldn’t fall. However, he also argued that human race has always been able to find solutions to these problems and emerge stronger. This is one of the reasons world stock markets grow over the long term!

Point taken!

2) There's no clear sign that the recovery is in sight!
For this reason, the author argued that if we had clear signs, the stock markets would have gone up a lot, and you would have missed the opportunity to make profits. Stock markets always anticipate economic recoveries. By the time the analysts are able to report clear signs, we would be more than halfway to the top. The author also claim that some of the "clear signs" could well be the fiscal and monetary policy actions undertaken recently by various governments of different countries.

Valid point again!

3) The recession will last for another 3 quarters!
For this reason, the author argues that assuming this is true, three quarters means the last quarter of 08 and the first two quarters of 09. Let’s budget another quarter and say it goes on till the end of 3Q 09. Stock markets always recover before the economy does. So if stock investors all thought that the global economy would recover by end of 3Q 09, we ain't that far away....

Lastly, the author points to the "I wish I had bought" syndrome. Many investors surely have experienced this before and regretted not buying when the market was heavily trashed! The author's reasons for optimism include Malaysia's current low market Price Earnings (PE) valuation, supported with growing population and successful regionalization of many local businesses, which means many businesses are less dependent on one country's economy alone.

Nevertheless, the author further advised that make sure one invests with money one can set aside for at least three years, so that one will not be caught short having to sell at the wrong time, as market needs time to realise its potential!

Here you are. Do you agree now is the time to re-enter equity investment?

The above article was written by Moh Hon Meng, the co-founder and executive director of iFAST Corporation.

For the full article, click here.