Saturday, February 13, 2010

The Year of the Tiger, A Year Of Volatility?


The tiger is characterized by being energetic, optimistic, impulsive and restless. 2010 is the year of tiger in the Chinese lunar calendar (4708). People born in this year are believed to be adventurous, sensitive, emotional, risk-taking, smart, and straightforward by nature.

Chinese New Years falls on 14th February 2010. Celebrations start on the eve of the new moon and end 15 days later with the full moon lantern festival.

According to many Feng Shui master, 2010 Year of the Metal Tiger will be a Bad Year! Inside the Tiger, there is Wood, Fire and Earth elements. Here lies the "problem", ie., having no water element is the problem!

So, if the Feng Shui views were to be believed, then expect high volatility in the global stock markets for the year of 2010! Already we have seen glimpses of trouble started off by Dubai, followed by the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain). With further tightening of lending by Chinese Government to curb speculative activities, and the imminent raise of interest rates by the U.S. in the near future, risk aversion will likely return to haunt the markets as USD-carry trades being unwinded.

Things can only return to the better unless the fundamental aspects of the real economy such as consumption, exports and employment return to normal.

Last but not least, I would like to wish all Chinese a Happy and Prosperous Chinese New Year!

New Roads to Travel,
New Skies to Conquer,,
New Dreams To Live,
New Hopes to Cherish,
It's the Beginning of Yet Another Year,
May it Be a Fulfilling Experience For You!
A Year of Excellent Health, Wealth, Happiness and Wisdom!
Happy 4708!

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hello. My wife and I bought our house about 6 months ago. It was a foreclosure and we were able to get a great deal on it. We also took advantage of the 8K tax credit so that definitely helped. We did an extensive remodeling job and now I want to refinance to cut the term to a 20 or 15 year loan. Does anyone know any good sites for mortgage information? Thanks!

Mike

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