No Escape From Credit Card Service Tax

For all Malaysians who carry credit cards, looks like your faint hope of the Government withdrawing their decision to charge service tax is in wane! In the light of Government's push for "prudent spending", better act smart now!

If you try to contact your banks these few days, chances are the phone lines could be jammed with traffic!

However, the good news is that you are unlikely to be charged the service tax immediately, as the fee is only payable when new credit card is issued, or upon the anniversary date of the credit card issuance.

For example, if a credit card is issued to a new cardholder on Jan 15, 2010 with a validity period of a year expiring on Jan 14, 2015, a service tax of RM50 would be chargeable on Jan 15, 2010. On the anniversary date of the following years (i.e., Jan 15 for year 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014), the same amount of tax will be charged again on the respective dates.

For existing cardholders, for cards issued on Sept 18, 2008 with a validity period of five years and expiring on Sept 17, 2013, service tax would be charged on its anniversary date on Sept 18, 2010, followed by Sept 18 2011 and Sept 18, 2012. However no tax will be levied for 2009 given that the policy will only be effective Jan 1, 2010.

Credit cardholders can expect to see the payable amount of service tax in their statement separately.

In the event a credit card is upgraded (such as in the case of a Classic card to a Gold card) or downgraded (such as in the case of a Gold card to a Classic card) or converted (such as in the case of an Islamic card to a conventional card) or reinstated (such as in the case of a cancelled card), the service tax will be charged on the new cards issued unless the anniversary dates of the previous and the new cards are the same,

For supplementary card holder, the amount of tax levied is RM25 per card.

The above tax applies to both credit cards or charge cards, but not on cash cards such as debit cards, petrol cards, closed community charge cards, loyalty cards and e-money like “Touch n’ Go”.

Another piece of good news is that most banks have agreed to allow card holders to pay the service tax via reward point redemption. The estimated point for redemption is about 10,000 bonus point for principal card and 5,000 point for supplementary card. However, the points could vary from bank to bank.

Related Post:- To Cut or Not To Cut?

Merry Christmas & Happy New Year

I would like to take this opportunity to wish all my friends a MERRY CHRISTMAS and Happy New Year! May the good times and treasures of the present become the golden memories of tomorrow. Wish you lots of love, joy and happiness.

Happy investing and many good returns ahead in 2010!

China Stocks To Rally In 2010?

Source of Article: Bloomberg

Chinese shares may rise as much as 35% next year as the yuan strengthens and earnings growth accelerates, according to Greenwoods Asset Management, manager of this year’s best-performing Chinese long-short equity fund.

According to Greenwood's Hong Kong office head Joseph Zeng, the gains by A shares denominated in yuan in Shanghai and Shenzhen will probably exceed a forecast increase of as much as 30% for mainland companies’ H shares traded in Hong Kong. Zeng's prediction is that China shares will extend gains as they have yet to enter a speculative “bubble”, and now trade at about 24 times estimated earnings, below the 10-year average of 35 times. In addition, China will probably yield to pressure from trading partners by allowing the yuan to appreciate by between 4% and 6% by end-2010, easing imbalances that worsened the global economic crisis.

The Shanghai Composite Index has jumped more than 8-% this year, as the government implemented a four trillion yuan stimulus package and allowed banks to lend beyond targets to support an expansionary monetary policy.

However, the US$1.3 trillion credit boom and a revival in the property market have triggered warnings about possible asset bubbles by officials and investors. Zeng on the other hand believes that overall property market isn’t in bubble territory yet either, because the “big gains” in prices were mainly confined to major cities.

According to Zeng, Greenwoods’ US$174 million Golden China Fund has 30% of its portfolio in A shares. The fund favours companies whose A shares are trading at lower valuations than their H shares. It also likes companies with “compelling valuations” in industries that are under-represented in Hong Kong, including Hundsun Electronics Co, which develops software for financial companies.

The Golden China Fund, which invests in A shares, H shares and American depositary receipts of Chinese companies, rose 137% year to date as of Oct 31, the best return among Chinese long-short equity funds, according to data from Bloomberg and the company. It also has the highest total return over one year, three years and five years among 37 peers tracked by Bloomberg.

Lifeline For SwissCash Investors?

SwissCash, an internet investment ponzi scheme that has caught many investors on fire a few years ago, has finally laid claim to a RM31million (USD9.1million) settlement with Malaysia's Securities Commission (SC).

Indeed, according to Zarinah Anwar, the Chairman of SC, investors who are successful in getting a restitution are fortunate given the elaborate scam by the Malaysian masterminds who went to great lengths to establish set-ups in a number of jurisdictions in an attempt to appear legitimate.

The SC initiated civil proceedings in the High Court against Albert Lee Kee Sien, Kelvin Choo Mun Hoe and Dynamic Revolution Sdn Bhd and last September, the court ordered them to pay US$83 million (RM280.62 million) — the estimate of total investments in the scam. The SC then obtained a worldwide Mareeva injunction restraining the defendants from disposing of their assets.

As for the investors, you have the SC to thank for as they rightfully have no obligation to the loss of your money in such schemes!



To recap, the scheme offered investors as much as 300% annual return of their investments and many were hooked by the "get rich quick" tags.

There is no doubt over some investors did get their payoffs but just like many of the other get-rich-quick schemes, this kind of scheme works like a musical chair. When the music stops, the ones caught without the chair will be punished or banished!

Despite the lessons learned, I am pretty sure schemes like this will continue to pop up in the future, mainly to take advantage of mankind's major weakness, i.e., GREED! Recently, i have come across another potential scam in-the-making investment scheme involving casino operation, with apparent connection with the upcoming Singapore's new casinos. Similarly, lofty returns were promised with further lavish incentives such as free Macau vacation tour and gifts in the form of gold chain or accessories.

DON'T BE THE ONE CAUGHT WITHOUT THE CHAIR WHEN THE MUSIC STOPS!

The Worst Is Over? Listen To What the Two Richest Men Have To Say

Capitalism is still alive and well, say the world's two richest men, despite lingering shocks from the longest, deepest recession since the Great Depression.

During a live interview in an auditorium filled with nearly 1,000 people at a CNBC-sponsored event at Columbia University in New York, Warren Buffett, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and Microsoft founder Bill Gates fielded questions from Columbia Business School students on the recession and investing.

Most notably, Warren Buffett said that the financial crisis is behind us, and the bottom has come in stocks, therefore do not pass on something that's attractive today!

Both Buffett and Gates also agreed that although mistakes were made, the fundamentals of the American system and a marketplace-driven system where American invest in education and innovation, coupled with a great long term infrastructure, will continue and augurs well for the future of U.S."

To watch the video of Warren and Gates interview, click this link.

For the full article, visit Yahoo News

For Buffett's latest view on investment, click this link.

To Cut or Not To Cut?

For many Malaysians, the first thing that probably comes into mind is the on-going P1 WiMax advertisement that has caused some gender controversies but essentially tried to convince consumers to switch their internet broadband services to the wireless WiMax technology. The latest P1 WiMax technology is supposed to make the experience of broadband internet surfing better and faster, "plug-and-play" with no physical phone line required.



Now that's not what I am referring to. I am referring to the more pressing issue of Malaysia's Government's recent plan to introduce service tax for credit cards from 2010 onwards. To recap, each card holder will be charged RM50 and RM25 for each principal card and supplementary card respectively, starting January 2010. If a person holds 5 credit cards with two supplementary, the total amount could add up to RM300 each year, and that's a big amount to pay for!


Personally, I hold something like 10 credit cards! Well, it's not that I'd like to have so many of them but merely because of the different kind of benefits that each of these cards could offer. For example, some credit card offer 2% rebate on petrol usage, while some others offer better discounts or rebates for supermarket spending, etc. Essentially, the banks have been very creative in rolling out different kinds of benefits to entice consumers to sign up for different credit cards. Since we can't have all-in-one facility, we have no choice but to sign up for these different cards. After all, there is no harm done provided the use of credit cards are not abused.

With the introduction of service tax, the benefits now seem to be muted. Besides the consumers, the biggest losers will be the banks and the sales agents whose livelihood depends on promoting the credit cards to earn a commission!

While the objective of prudent spending appears sound and should be supported, I believe it should not be done at the expense of genuine credit card spenders. The Government should instead impose targeted measures on credit card holders who defaults on payment on a regular basis. For instance, a mechanism to suspend all the credit cards of a particular credit card holder who defaults more than x number of times should be considered. Else, create more incentives for the use of debit cards instead of credit cards instead.

Nevertheless, if you are holding on to many credit cards right now, do not simply cut them apart. Wait for further advice from banks pertaining to this matter. I believe banks are actively pursuing the matter with the Government in order to come up with better measures. With the Government's constant flip-flopping policies, it will not be a surprise if they decide to change it again!

After all, it's also still not too late to make a final decision to cut your credit cards in December, if the situation renders so.

Power Towards High Income Nation....How la?

Our beloved Prime Minister of Malaysia had finally delivered his much anticipated 2010 budget. It was claimed to be a peoples' budget, with the stated aim of elevating the people of this country to high income status....

Sure, a number of positive incentives were tabled, such as:
- reduction of personal income tax from 27% to 26% effective 2010;
- an increase of RM1,000 for personal tax rebate
- an additional RM1,000 for personal tax relief on pension fund and life insurance
- people who are self-employed are given the option to contribute to the pension fund savings at any amount monthly starting 2010, with the Government contributing further 5% to the amount of contribution;

However, the positives are mitigated by the following negatives:
- introduction of RM50 service tax on each principal credit card holder and RM25 for each supplementary credit card holder
- reintroduction of real property gains tax (RPGT) for real estate disposal, starting from 2010, with a minimum of 5% tax regardless of the duration of holding period (Again, a common Government flip-flop policy sickness has reemerged!)
- realigning the fuel subsidy scheme to make sure that it benefits the lower income group....Whatever that means!

Is there really much to shout about? Hang on a second....how are these supposed to elevate the people to become high-income nation? To make things worse, the Government has also slashed next year's targeted GDP growth to around 3%! On the other hand, Malaysia is barely a decade away from its Vision 2020 target and there's certainly little sign that the developed status objective can be achieved by then! As per my understanding, the nation will need to grow something like 7-8% per annum on average for the next decade in order to achieve that and that's a very tall order indeed!

I am sorry, I just don't see how the "high income" word can be associated in this context! It certainly won't work unless there is a radical change in the governing approach and mindset, and with principal focus on meritocracy, liberalization and enhancing competitiveness as the priority.

What's your thought on the recent national budget for 2010? I look forward to your sharing.

Is Gold Truly A Safe Haven?

Following my post on "How To Invest In Gold?", I received a number of queries on whether investing in gold is truly safe as projected by many investors or analysts.

For the matter, i can assure you that all investments come with risks, with gold being no exception.

With gold prices reaching record highs and recently exceeding USD1,000 per ounce, there were many bullish calls for gold to scale even higher!

Before you decide to jump into the gold rush, i recommend you to first read this new book written by Doug Eberhardt. The title of the book is "Buy Gold Safely". The book reveals the importance of gold, how you can keep your gold investment secured, the underlying secrets of gold investing that the experts do not want you to know, common pitfalls to avoid while investing in gold and much more!

Click Here!

Although some of the information contained in this book are slightly outdated, it certainly pays to understand how gold mechanism works and why it is absolutely critical in preserving our wealth and maintaining a balanced investment portfolio!

On the other hand, do not make the mistake of simply assuming investing in gold at any time is good! Remember the big correction in gold prices in 2008 from the peak of 1000 to the low of 712? Understanding the state of affairs and a sense of timing are still essential!

Click Here!

How To Invest In Gold?

Arguably, gold is the only investment asset class in the world that is widely perceived to be the safe investment haven. Many investors will therefore choose to invest in this precious metal as part of their wealth preservation and creation strategy.

During last two years, when all the asset classes have failed to perform, gold is the only investment asset that has remained outperformed. As such, Gold is also widely believed to be the best hedge against the U.S. dollar and inflation. When U.S. Dollar falls, demand for gold is set to increase as investors sought to preserve their wealth. In addition, gold has a very low correlation with other asset classes like equity and debt thereby it's a very good asset to diversify for the overall portfolio.

The most direct way of investing in gold is to purchase the physical gold bullion directly from financial institutions or dealer. You can then choose to safe keep the gold yourself or the safer alternative is to keep them in a secured vault owned by third party such as banks.

Instead of holding physical gold bullion, there are a number of other forms of investment in gold without the need to hold physical stock. In Malaysia, both Maybank and Public Bank offer the convenience of gold investment account with a passbook, whereby every trade is done through the account without the involvement of physical stock. Transactions are highly liquid as the buying and selling are based on the bank's prevailing quoted buying and selling prices.

Other means of gold investment (without physical delivery) include Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), unit trusts (mutual funds) and also the choice of investing directly in gold mining companies.

Gold ETFs are open-ended mutual funds that are passively managed and they mirror the return of spot price of gold. Gold ETFs are listed and traded on stock exchanges just like stocks. As such, the cost of trading Gold ETFs is lower compared to mutual fund type of investment. Gold ETFs provide returns, which before expenses, closely correspond to the returns provided by physical gold. Each unit is approximately equal to the price of 1 gram.

Some of the most popular regional gold ETFs and mutual funds include:
- DWS Invest Gold and Precious metals Equities (listed in Singapore)
- United Gold & General Fund (listed in Singapore)
- DWS Noor Precious Metals Securities A USD (listed in Singapore)
- SPDR Gold Trust ETF (listed in U.S., Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan)

Here you are some of the gold investment vehicles available for your consideration, should you decide to get hold of one of the world's most highly sought after precious metal!

It's All About Liquidity

What happens when you have lots of money in the bank? Quite rightfully, the tendency is to either spend it or invest it wisely. In a macro scale and global financial terms, we call this liquidity.

Back in 2006 and 2007, global financial markets were flushed with liquidity, aided by the sub-zero interest Yen-carry trades. After all, funds were cheap and it was not surprising that investors took the risk to invest in assets with higher returns with lower cost of funds. However, many investors were caught badly burned as the global financial markets collapsed in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, followed by the massive loss of liquidity.

When funds dried up and there was a massive loss of confidence, investors naturally become risk averse. Markets continue to fall until the first quarter of 2009 amidst this phenomena.

Since March 2009, the outlook has changed drastically, due to massive pump priming by countries around the world and the huge injection of funds by the U.S. Government to bailout troubled financial institutions. Quantitative easing (printing of money) by countries such as U.S. and U.K. has certainly contributed massively to the availability of funds as well.

As a result, global financial markets are now flushed with liquidity. Whether this is artificially created or not is subject to your own interpretation though.

With U.S. economy showing signs of recovery, the U.S. Government has to decide whether it's time to gradually withdraw the stimulus plan. Indeed, this is what comes out of yesterday's FOMC meeting, however, with no specific timeline mentioned yet. Federal Reserve is not likely to do so until U.S. unemployment rate starts tapering off. Bear in mind that with all the talk about U.S. recovery, the unemployment rate is still hanging high at almost 10%!

With liquidity being the major driving factor, any move that could potentially dampen liquidity prematurely may spark another round of fear within the financial sector.

On the other hand, i believe the bull party is ain't over until there is a dramatic change in liquidity. As such, I am quite prepared to hold on to my positions until there is a clear sign of otherwise emerged.

Exchange Traded Fund vs Mutual Fund (Unit Trust)

During an uptrend market like the current, you may consider to invest in an index linked security (alternatively also known as tracker fund) instead of trying to pick the right stock. An index linked security essentially links its performance according to the broad market index performance, such as Dow Jones Industrial Index or Malaysia's FBMKLCI. Locally in Malaysia, there are many index-linked unit trust funds available in the market. However, before you consider parting your money in an index-linked Fund, understand your cost of investment and consider the alternative such as ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds).



ETFs are baskets of securities that trade like stocks on an exchange and are designed to track the performance of an index. Examples are FBM KLCI ETF Fund and MyETF Dow Jones Islamic Market Malaysia Titans 25, the first Syariah compliant ETF in Asia.

Investors who want to buy an index linked unit trust fund may be better off buying the ETF which does exactly the same. The obvious benefit is that the cost of ETF is cheaper. This is because there are no management and upfront fees, unlike unit trusts.

 The upfront fees for unit trust in Malaysia on average is about 3% to 5% but could be as high as 7%!

Besides, a unit trust fund may charge up to 1.5% a year on management fee, which is much higher than the 0.5% charged by the FBM KLCI ETF.

Buying ETF is exactly the same as buying a stock, with the same lot size of 100 units. Unlike unit trust, buying and selling ETF is easy and traded real-time. Dividend is also distributed by ETFs generally on a half yearly basis.

So next time when you were to be approached by unit trust salesperson, find out about the cost of investment first. Don't let the hidden charges affect your fund performance.

Unlock The Equity Cross Road....

The word goes that when the U.S. sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold. The above scenario is still pretty much valid, given how the financial troubles in U.S. had led to the global economic meltdown for the rest of the world! So despite all the speculation about the potential decoupling of world's economy from the U.S., it is simply not true as globalization has increasingly turned the world flat and like it or not, Americans are still the biggest spenders in the world, mopping up many products and services the rest of the world has to offer!

However, China has gradually and surely increased its role in the world's economy, given its huge domestic market (served by 1.4 billion people) and the enormous pace of growth averaging 8 to 10%. In time to come, it will not be exaggerating to say that if China sneezes, the world will likely catch a cold too!

Global stock markets have recovered strongly, against the odds, for the past 6 months. Major doubt is now being raised as whether the optimisms have run ahead of fundamentals or it's a mere speculation? The answer, I'm afraid, is highly subjective. Bear in mind that equity market is always forward looking, which essentially means that as an investor, we simply cannot wait until the event unfolds! Yes, it's a calculated risk that we all will have to take.

Recent data seem to have pointed to a sustainable recovery. However, whether one views it as a V, W, U or S shaped type of recovery is again highly subjective! Tan Teng Boo of iCapital Fund Management seems to believe we are at the beginning of another bull run and there will be a V-shaped recovery! However, most other analysts or financial gurus tend to take a more conservative view. Taking a long term view with China and likely India to spearhead future's economic growth, it is likely that we should have seen the worst for now provided U.S. do not spring more surprises or open up another can of worm!

Right now as we speak, global markets seem to be reaching a cross road where the next direction should be. It is understandable that investors are feeling nervy, having witness a dramatic bull rally for the past 6 months. An overheated bull will tend to follow with meaningful short term bear correction. Only then will the bull have an opportunity to recharge.

Mark Mobious, the well-known founder of Templeton Asset Management and investment guru, stated about a month ago that markets could decline between 20% to 30% following the recovery.

As a matter of fact, China's Shanghai market has corrected (or crashed?) about 20% the last couple of weeks, driven by fear of Chinese Government's plan to tighten the domestic credit market. Tightening credit at a time when China's export and unemployment are still weak does not seem to make sense. However, it is also a concern that excessive liquidity could lead to excessive speculation and unproductive output. As such, the latest measure is meant to ensure that credit resources are diverted to productive investments, which will strengthen real economic activities rather than continue to create bubbles in the stock market and the real estate.

To me, it's good to take a pause and re-assess the status quo, rather than taking the gung-ho approach. The faster one climbs, the harder one falls....

Perhaps, it's also a good time to re-assess your portfolio too. Some spring cleaning will always prove to be timely indeed in due course.

Is U.S. Housing Making A Comeback Soon?

Housing, which led the U.S. economy into recession, may be one of the forces that helps to pull it out of the ditch. Although nobody expects a renewed housing boom, at least sales and construction spending are not falling any further.

Some of the signs of stabilization include:

• Home builders are gradually becoming more hopeful, even though surveys show most builders are still very discouraged. The builders' housing market index has risen in four of the past five months.

• Housing starts have increased in four of the past five months after tumbling to a postwar record low. Building permits for single-family homes have risen at a 109% annual rate over the past three months.

• Sales of new single-family homes have risen three months in a row after falling to a record low in March.

• Sales of existing homes have risen four of the past five months, supported by a government subsidy for first-time buyers and by sales of foreclosed homes.

However, residential mortgages either in foreclosure or with at least one payment past due hit 13.16% in the 2nd quarter, the highest percentage ever recorded!

Mortgages somewhere in the foreclosure process reached 4.3% of all mortgages, up from 3.85% in the 1st quarter and 2.75% in the 2nd quarter of 2008

With current U.S. unemployment rate at almost 10%, it leads to the sign that mortgage performance is once again being driven by unemployment. In fact, prime fixed-rate loans now account for one in three foreclosure starts. A year ago they accounted for one in five. While 41 states had increases in the foreclosure start rate for prime fixed-rate loans, 43 states had decreases in that rate for subprime adjustable-rate loans.

Until the U.S. employment situation improves, it is unlikely that there will be meaningful improvement in the foreclosure and delinquency rates.

Data Source: MarketWatch

Is Margin Trading Right For You?

Leverage your money. That's what many of us have often been told or practising. However, not all forms of leveraging is good. For example, not repaying fully your credit card bills and servicing high amount of interests is not a good way of leveraging. To sum it up, you need to weigh the cost and benefits of such leveraging and the associated risk before jumping into it. If the cost outweighs the benefits and comes with high risk, such form of leveraging is obviously not for us!

In equity trading, there are generally two forms of account, being cash account and margin account. Cash account simply means you pay cash up front, before purchasing shares. In countries where settlement period (T+x day) is allowed, full settlement has to be made upon the maturity of the settlement period. Margin account, on the other hand, allows an investor to purchase more shares than his cash deposit allows, normally two times the amount. For example, supposed you have $10,000 in cash deposit, you are allowed to purchase up to $20,000 worth of shares. The other $10,000 is like a form of borrowing from you broker or securities firm, in which they will charge you interest (for the amount of borrowing) based on prescribed interest rates calculated on a daily basis.

Effectively, this is a form of leveraging. Question is, is this a good form of leveraging? Let's explore the advantages and the inherent risks.

Quite clearly, margin trading allows you to trade more than what you have, and therefore, allows you to make more money if your share price projection turns out to be correct. However, the same holds true (i.e., more losses) if the share price goes against your direction!

Here's the added risk when the direction of the share price goes against you. When the amount of shareholding falls below a certain predetermined amount (by the broker or securities firm), the broker is entitled to issue a margin call. What a margin call simply means is that you will need to top up the shortfall immediately or latest by the next business day.

For example, supposed you have cash deposit of $10,000 and you have bought shares worth $20,000. Let's say share prices have gone down by $6,000 and you now have $14,000 remaining. Your net cash position now is %$4,000 ($10k - $6k loss). Assuming margin requirement is 30%. you will need to maintain a minimum of $4,200 ($14k * 30%). In this case, there will be a margin call given your net cash position runs below the safety margin.

Failure to top up within the set timeline will render the broker disposing your shares. Worst of all, it can be done without your knowledge!

To further add salt to the wound, your losses could be blown out of proportion as you continue to top up your margin but the market further deteriorates against your expectation!

You need to be also aware that the amount borrowed incurs interest on a daily basis. As such, it is an added cost of investment. As such, there are holding costs should you decide to hold on to a stock.

In conclusion, my advice is do not trade margin account unless you absolutely understood the kind of risk that you are dealing with and is prepared to take on such risk without major adverse consequences. Personally, I do not and will never trade with a margin facility. Simply, it's way beyond my tolerance of risks!

How To Invest In Overseas Equity Market?

For those who would like to diversify their portfolio investments beyond the local shore, this article sets to explore the ways to do so. Just to emphasize, I am articulating on direct or active investment instead of passive investment such as investing in unit trusts.

Thanks to globalisation and increased investors' appetite for better investment returns, many Malaysians have started investing offshore (In part this is also due to the fact that Malaysia stock market is no longer favoured by foreigners and is lagging far behind stockmarkets in Hong Kong, China or even Singapore in both performance and liquidity).

If you are interested in investing in multiple key global markets, the one that instantly comes to my mind is Interactive Brokers (IB). IB offers a very comprehensive list of financial markets to invest in, ranging from North America (U.S, Canada, Mexico) to Europe and Asia Pacific (Australia, Hong Kong, India and Japan) region. The products offered are also wide ranging, from equity to forex, derivatives, bonds, ETFs, CFDs and so on.

IB's brokerage rate is also one of the lowest available. For instance, to trade in U.S. stocks, the brokerage charge is only US$0.50 per lot (of 100 shares) with a minimum $1 brokerage per order!

Application for an account can be done easily through the web (online). Even Agreements can be digitally "signed" online! The only manual work which you need to provide them is a copy of your Passport and a signed copy of certain local Authority Form such as W-8BEN in the case of trading in U.S. For added convenience, you may fax them a copy of these documents or simply scan and email a copy to them.

One word of caution though, the trading software for IB is not that user friendly. So it may take some time for you to get used to it. However, step-by-step guides are readily available from their website. All you need to do is to run the videos.

For those who are interested in trading in the U.S. market only, my preferred broker is ThinkorSwim (ToS). Brokerage rate is higher at $1.50 per lot or fixed at $9.95 per trade (whichever is lower and subject to a maximum of 50 lots for fixed rate) but the trading software is much more user friendly and feature packed. Among them include the ability to display multiple chart patterns all in one screen.

The beauty about these online brokers is that you can also do virtual trading, that is, trade without real money! This will give you a sense of better confidence before starting real trades, and is ideal for beginners who would like to get familiarise with the trading platform and/or test certain trading strategies.

To start real trading, you will need to deposit funds first into the trading account. In other words, there is no more T+x day type of settlement. All trades are cash up front but you may choose to trade with a margin facility.

Funds can be easily transferred from your local banking account to the U.S. designated account using wired transfer or more commonly known as Telegraphic Transfer (TT) in Malaysia. You will need to bear the TT charges (charged by both local and foreign banks) as you do the transfer. Just inform the broker about the transfer and they will notify you once the amount is successfully banked in. Normally, this should happen within the same business day.

Trading platform is much more sophisticated compared to our local markets as you can literally set your trading criteria (e.g., entry price, stop loss and profit target) and walk away without ever watching the screen again! You can even set orders such as market order, stop order with or without limit and OCO (One Cancel Other) orders. Once you learn how to do it, trading is very easy and a peace of mind in case you are busy at work or go to sleep!

Other than signing up with online brokers, the other viable option is to trade via your local investment bankers or stock brokers. A number of local Investment brokers have for the past couple of years rollout offshore trading in order to cater for this increased interests. Among the Investment Brokers offering this service include CIMB, OSK, Kenanga, Maybank and RHB Investment Bank.

However, do take note that this type of trading is not done online. The arrangement is between yourself and your local broker. Orders can be instructed by you and your broker will forward the trade instruction with their respective counterpart in the particular country of trade. Exchange rate is determined by the broker on the day of trade. There is no standard brokerage rates apply so you will need to verify with your preferred broker before trading. There will also be some signing of paperwork required before you want to start trading offshore.

Generally, this type of 3rd party or indirect trading will be more costly than online trading. It will probably be fine if you do not intend to trade offshore frequently and do not have the time or patience to learn a new trading platform. Also bear in mind that there will be a delayed trading execution given the offline mode of instruction and involvement of 3rd party.

Rich Dad Poor Dad With A Twist..

Many people are familiar with the book Rich Dad Poor Dad authored by Robert Kiyosaki.

Here's a different twist with a different perspective on who's rich and who's poor.

One day, the father of a very wealthy family took his son on a trip to the country with the express purpose of showing him how poor people live. They spent a couple of days and nights on the farm of what would be considered a very poor family.

On their return from their trip, the father asked his son.
Father: "How was the trip?"
Son: "It was great, Dad."
Father: "Did you see how poor people live?"
Son: "Oh yeah."
Father: "So, tell me, what you learned from the trip?"
Son: "I saw that we have one dog and they had four. We have a pool that reaches to the middle of our garden and they have a creek that has no end; We have servants who serve us, but they serve others; We buy our food, but they grow theirs; We have walls around our property to protect us; they have friends to protect them."
The Father was speechless, before the son added: "Thanks Dad for showing me how poor we are!"

A different perspective may change our way of life and success, for the better forever.

Do you have a story? Please share.

Is Michael Jackson Worth Investing?

The news of Michael Jackson's death has caught many people by surprise. Right after the news were released, the memorabilia market instantly heated up. Copies of his best-selling album, "Thriller", worth normally US$10, were fetching 5 to 15 times more thereafter!

Bizarrely, a single Cheeto, a cheese-flavored, finger-sized snack, that purportedly resembled Jackson doing the moonwalk was sold for $35.18 on eBay on Jun 25th!

Prices for all things Jackson, from albums and tour posters to commemorative coins and more, popped up like a champagne cork and have shown little sign of coming back to earth.

People are so overcome with emotion that they are willing to pay almost anything rather than thinking they should wait for the spike in prices to disappear.

Other groups of people are now either looking to cashing in all things Jackson related or investing (buying) with the hope of holding on to it for future gain.

But this will come back to reality soon, most likely when the news stop producing Jackson's headlines or when people get tired of it. People are often fickle minded after all! They will move on to the next major headline after some time.

For the matter, anyone thinking of Jackson memorabilia as an investment, or with a spare copy of Thriller gathering dust in the basement, may want to move it now because the market is never likely to be this hot again.

However, if someone does hold on to something genuinely unique or rare items of Jackson's, then perhaps there is a higher chance that these unique or rare items can fetch a much higher price in the future. The same principle, however, is unlikely applicable to something like Jackson's Albums (eg., Thriller) though, where there were huge production supply in the market.

Also watch out for items that are fake or scam!

Ultimately, people should return to their senses.

Nevertheless, Michael, thank you for bringing to us your special brand of music and entertainment that will live with us forever!

For those who would like to catch a glimpse of one of Jackson's final moments, watch
this video of Michael Jackson's last concert rehearsal on June 23 2009, two days before his death, at the Staples Center in Los Angeles.

Liberalisation or Desperate Measure?

Finally, the 30% quota Bumiputera (Native) requirement for new listing of public companies in Malaysia has been abolished by the Government of Malaysia! This is in the wake of the country's diminishing competitiveness and the continued diminishing foreign interest in Malaysia's capital market. The Government labels the move as an economic liberatisation. To me it's more like a desperate measure (against potential political flak) to salvage the alarming situation!

Let's take a closer look at the equity side. The current weightings of 2.2% of foreign funds in Malaysia (as a percentage of their Emerging Asia exposure) pales in comparison to its own historical averages of 3.7% post crisis and 4.0% in the preceding upcycle of 2003-07. The resulting ratios of current exposure to previous historical averages are therefore the lowest ever recorded! (Source: CIMB Research).

Despite the recent 20+% market rally in Malaysia, the support is primarily coming from local funds. This shows that Malaysia market has been ignored by foreign investors thus far in this run up, and the exposure is clearly on a downtrend rather than up!

Nevertheless, with the new measure, what this has done is that it has freed both Malaysian and foreign entrepreneurs from having to worry about obtaining a 30% bumiputra equity participation before they can expand their businesses.

The 30% bumiputra equity requirement thus is no more an administrative micro target. Instead the government will keep that as an overall macro target leaving it to regulators in the respective sectors to decide how to do it.

The significance of this becomes more apparent if one considers the listing process. Previously, one had to get a 30% bumiputra partner and then float at least 25% of the issued capital on the market through an IPO. That effectively meant that a majority of 55% stake had to be given up!

If the bumiputra investors subsequently sold out, the major shareholder will most likely be required to top up the bumiputra equity stake at the next fund-raising exercise.

Now, all it takes is a 25% public float of which half or 12.5% of equity capital will be allocated to bumiputras via a public balloting process. If not enough bumiputra participants have applied, the bumiputra requirement is deemed to have been met.

Also all listed companies do not have to periodically increase their bumiputra stakes to previous levels when these are sold down, thus eliminating a recurrent headache!

A more interesting public statistics shows that of the RM54bil of equity distributed to bumiputras through these means between 1984 and 2005, only RM2bil are still in bumiputras' hands!

On the other hand, all property transactions, except for those involving a dilution of government or bumiputra interests for property valued at RM20mil and above, would no longer require Foreign Investment Committee (FIC) approval.

The role of FIC has also become obsolete...Way overdue!

The world is getting flat....It's time to heed the wake up call or face elimination!

Capital Gain vs Cash Flow

When it comes to making a decision on investing, would you choose one based on the criteria of capital gain or cash flow? It's a tough one, isn't it? Frankly, the answer varies from person to person. However, i would say that for most ordinary people, they would prefer capital gain.

Let's quote an example, suppose you purchase an asset for x amount of dollar and sold it for a nice 40% gain in 3 years, versus you purchase an asset for the same amount that gives you say 8% annual return in the form of dividend or rental for instance, and the asset only appreciates less than 5% a year. For most people, they would probably go for the first example, where higher capital gain is made. After all, it sounds more convincing and exciting when you tell your friends or business partners that you have pocketed handsomely in this deal!

Question is, what do you do with the money gained thereafter? Most commonly, there is always a lurking temptation to spend on luxury items when you have spare cash in hand, be it a luxury holiday, fancy car, watches, etc. After all, why wouldn't you want to pamper yourself a "little" for closing a wonderful deal! Nothing wrong with pampering yourself sometimes (good way to recharge the batteries!), but it's the quantum of spending unecessarily that you would want to take caution of. Bear in mind, spending unnecessarily means you are giving away an opportunity to make money work for you in the future!

On the other hand, can you find another opportunity that can give you similarly good financial returns after this? Chances are you may not. So you will end up with plenty of cash on hand and as time passes, the temptation to spend grows!

For me personally, although short term capital gain sounds sweet and exciting, there is no guarantee that a particular investment will yield the expected capital gain. Therefore the risk increases. On the other hand, human nature to spend unnecessarily is also a lurking danger. On the contrary, an investment that can generate a regular streams of income (cash flow) is perceived to be lower risk and helps to sustain your own personal financial position in the longer term. To take one step further, go for investments which generate positive cash flows.

Positive cash flow simply refers to the excess regular income generated by an asset after deducting all the relevant expenses in deriving the particular income. A good example is property rental income where the tenant will pay the property owner rental every month as long as the property remains tenanted.

A good point of comparison is between landed property and rental yield property such as high rise residential apartment. Landed property has bigger potential for capital gain (but not guaranteed) but poor rental yield. That means extra burden having to regularly service the commitment from your own pocket and opportunity cost! On the contrary, good high rise apartment may not generate as high capital gain but gives much better return when it comes to rental yield. In this case, the tenant will finance your property but the property is still owned by you!

A long lasting positive cash flow will help a person or a business to survive and sustain longer, without the need to continuously spend more money and therefore sacrificing other opportunities. As you build more businesses or acquire assets that generate positive cash flows over time, you will find that you have truly gained the ultimate goal of financial freedom!

Nevertheless, that doesn't mean you should ignore capital gain all together! Why not the best of both worlds? According to Robert Kiyosaki, the key to financial intelligence is how to use both cash flow and capital gains to grow wealthy. So many people are not successful, because they’re generally focusing on only one of the two.

Crude Oil...the Beauty and The Beast

Now that the price of crude oil has more or less double up from the lows of $30s per barrel at the beginning of the year to the current $70 range, everyone seems to be cheering, as reflected in the optimisms in the global stockmarket performances to-date, and many were making bold conclusions that the worst of the state of economy is over. However, questions remain as to the real cause of the price hike...could it be pure speculation at play or fundamentally driven? It could well be a combination of both, of course. The next fundamental question to be asked is that have the price run ahead of its fundamental too soon? What if the price of crude oil continue to rise above $80 for instance?

Not forgetting it was only not too long ago (last year in 2008) when crude oil price was driven up to $140 per barrel and there was massive problem in global inflationary pressures on all goods and services and subsequently caused havoc to global economies!

It is therefore important for the price of crude oil to maintain stability (around $50 to %70) and avoid catching the rocket (of over speculation)! If that happens, it will surely introduce another set of massive inflationary issues just when the global economy is barely trying to find its footing of recovery. More so, we are probably ahead of the fundamentals right now and nothing solid (such as corporate earnings and positive growth, increased demand, lower unemployment rate, etc) has come out of the whirlwind. Moreover, there is also the problem of potential US dollar devaluation and the possible hyperinflation the world has to tackle with, given the massive quantitative easing measures taken by the U.S!

So, beware of the beauty and the beast!

Discovering Relationship Between Dollar & Oil

Do you ever wonder if the strength of US Dollar that you are holding affects the price of oil or vice-versa? Here's an interesting article written on its likely relationship and perhaps put you in a better guidance when you should invest in the commodity of crude oil and/or gold.

Since the beginning of the year, the price of crude oil has increased by more than 30% from US$43 a barrel in January to a high of US$60 in mid-May. This could boil down to multiple factors, including improved growth prospects, speculation and the weakness of the US dollar. In addition, the outlook for economic giants the US and China has improved materially over the past month, leading many people to believe that the worst of the global recession is almost over.

US and Chinese economic data, along with comments from central bankers seem to support this rosy outlook. Early this month, US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke told the US Congress that the recession is easing and that growth should take place by year-end. Most other central bankers expect their countries to return to positive growth in 2010. Given that oil prices
plummeted in the second half of 2008 because of deleveraging and the fear of a deep
recession, the promise of a brighter tomorrow is driving oil prices higher. However, a slower pace of contraction and the prospect of increased demand are not the only reasons oil prices are higher.

Recent US dollar weakness is contributing to the recovery. Of course, many people will argue
that the US dollar is weaker because the US economy is doing better, which is true, but the
relationship between oil prices and the US dollar’s value is too significant to ignore.

Since the beginning of 2008, the correlation between oil prices and the US-dollar index has
been roughly -0.90. In other words, 90% of the time, when the US-dollar index falls, oil prices
rise.

The chart below shows the tight correlation between the two instruments:
Here's the argument for dollar driving the price of oil:
- Oil is priced in US dollars. According to OPEC, the relationship between oil prices and the dollar is almost mechanical. When the dollar falls, oil prices have to go up in dollar terms to stay constant in euro terms. Oil producers receive their oil revenues in US dollars and need to be compensated for the fluctuations of the greenback. This does not always hold true, of course, otherwise the correlation would not have broken in the beginning of the year.

Here's the argument for oil price driving the dollar:
- A study by the IMF in 1996 found that a 10% rise in the real price of oil induces a 2% real depreciation in a typical OPEC's real exchange rate. This should not be completely surprising because higher oil prices do result in higher cost of oil imports for the US, leading to a higher current account and trade deficit, which is US-dollar bearish. It also affects growth. When oil prices were nearing US$150 a barrel, gasoline prices in the US went as high as US$4 a gallon or more. It's like a tax on consumers and significantly affected companies!

The conclusion is that the relationship between oil prices and the US dollar is both schizophrenic and symbiotic. When oil prices were hitting record highs in July 2008, it can be argued that the price of oil was driving the value of the US dollar because of concerns about the strain it would have on the US economy. However, currently it is more likely that the dollar is driving the price of oil because the outlook for global demand is not clear and investors are less focused on the impact that higher oil prices can have on trade than they are on its signal of stronger growth.

The full article can be found at Moneyshow.com.

Money-printing Caused Market Rally?

What has caused the recent stock market rally across the globe? Too fast, too soon, as there are hardly sufficient evidence to fundamentally support a market euphoria? Here's another theory by the well-known commodity investor, Jim Rogers.

According to Rogers, the recent market rally is flooded with "artificial" liquidity as a result of the various printing money (technically known as Quantitative Easing) initiatives taken by central banks of certain developed countries, particularly U.S. As such, Rogers believe that the next financial meltdown will be in the currency markets.

Rogers claimed that he has bought the Yen because he expects the Japanese currency to withstand future problems, but he does not have short positions in any currency and is currently not buying the yen any more. However, Rogers has not shorted the U.S. dollar at the moment, although it may be at the peak.

Nevertheless, Rogers also believe that for the moment, currencies may look safer than anything else in the markets, as stocks may face a new bottom since they were artificially lifted by the amount of money created by central banks, but there are pitfalls ahead.

Rogers's view seem to coincide with the views of other legendary investors such as Warren Buffett....

Beware of the potential next currency crisis, particularly if you have exposure to multiple foreign currencies!

Malaysia Stockmarket - Upcoming Changes You Need To Know

If you are an investor of equity stocks in Malaysia's stock market, you should be aware of the following impending changes taking place soon. First and foremost, on 6th July 2009, Bursa Malaysia will change the market’s primary benchmark index from the 100-stock Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) to the FTSE-Bursa Malaysia KLCI which comprises just 30 stocks. 73 stocks will thus fall out of the new benchmark index while three new stocks will be added.

The transition will be seamless, i.e., the new FBM KLCI will start off with an index value equal to the closing value of the current KLCI on 3 July 2009.
















Secondly, the main board and second board of Bursa Malaysia will be merged and be known as the "Main Market" while the Mesdaq market will be transformed into a sponsor-driven market known as "ACE Market" from 3rd August 2009.

The requirement for listing on the Main Market will also be eased with companies needing only an aggregate after-tax profit of RM20 million over three to five years with at least RM6million in after-tax profit in the latest financial year. This compares with current requirements to have aggregate post-tax profit of RM30 million with at least RM8 million in the latest financial year.

The Mesdaq market, which was reserved for technology companies, will be transformed into an alternative market open to companies of all sizes and from economic sectors.

All equity-based proposals, such as share placements, rights offerings and restricted share issuances will no longer require the SC's approval.

In order to attract both local and foreign companies to list in Bursa Malaysia, the Securities Commission is also relaxing rules on secondary listings of foreign corporations, effective 3rd August 2009. The relaxed rules include foreign companies no longer need to have at least RM1.0 billion in market capitalization with RM60 million in after-tax profit in the latest financial year for a secondary listing.

In order to encourage private equity activities and corporate mergers and acquisitions, SC will also allow the listing of shell companies that have no operations but have intentions to merge with or acquire operating companies or businesses with their IPO proceeds. However, a shell company seeking a listing must raise a minimum of RM150 million through its IPO and must complete an acquisition within 36 months of listing.

Sell In May and Go Away?

There is this old adage "Sell in May and go away" for Wall Street. Fact or myth? In essence, this is a belief that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger growth on average than the other months from May to October.

Quite simply, the facts seem to indicate otherwise.

The chart below shows the percentage of time the market rises from May 1 through September 1 over various time frames. Over each time frame covered, the market has a positive return at least 60% of the time. Since 1929, there have been 30 years where the Dow went up more than 5% between May 1st and September 1st, while there have only been 14 years where the index declined by more than 5%. There have been 14 years where the index went up more than 10% versus only 8 occurrences of double digit declines.

Moreover, the fact that Wall Street has been in a free fall mood since the 4th quarter of 2007, it's high time for a decent bear rally, given that the latest economic data in U.S. seem to point to a gradual recovery and possibly an indication that the worst is over. The to-be released bank stress test will further give a clear indication of the health of U.S. banking industry.

As a matter of fact, the Dow has recovered by about 31% as of yesterday since March 2009.

Signs of Recovery?

Malaysia Central Bank has left the key interest rates unchanged at 2.0% and emphasized that the present monetary policy measures were sufficient to provide support to the domestic demand, despite exports are widely expected to contract drastically in both first and second quarter of this year.

With the status quo unchecked, it could well suggest that Malaysia's economy and business prospects may well recover in the second half of 2009.

That likely explains why the local stock market has had a rally of 19% within the past one and a half months. Investors are clearly anticipating the worst is over and a major recovery will take place.

The Age of Buy and Hold Is Over?

Based on various feedback, this is a mixed view. Some say the age of "buy and hold" stocks and/or equity related investments is simply over, simply due to the fact that economy and business are cyclical in nature. For instance, many stocks (even the bluest of blue chips) effectively wiped out the entire gains made during the last 10 years in just one year of global economic crisis last year!

On the other hand, others say that adopting the "buy and hold" strategy is the best strategy to investing as it is not possible to time the market in terms of peaks and troughs.

Personally for me, the "buy and hold" strategy will not work at turbulent times like this as every single company 's market share will be severely affected by sentiment. Instead of "buy and hold", the likely apprroach during such time in fact is "dump first, think later"! The objective of course, is capital preservation.

However, the strategy of "buy and hold" may make sense during market bull rally. For instance, US market went through a 5 year up trend from 1995 to 1999, followed by from Year 2003 to 2007. Notice that market went through a 3 year correction from year 2000 to year 2002. Assuming the stock price performance is correlated to the index, it would be wise to take some profit during initial market downtrend instead of waiting out for the unknown.

Year 2007 to date performance is a classic example where things really turn nasty! For those who hold on to their investments, chances are the entire gain built up over the last 10 years or so may be wiped off completely! Is it worth while to continue with the gung ho approach then?

So the question is how do you tell the market is undergoing bullish trend or bearish trend then?

Answer lies with Technical Analysis. As technical chartists often say, the charts do not lie! Mind you, technical charts are no crystal ball! They serve the purpose of serving a strategic or tactical guide, based on market "psychology" which will be reflected in the chart. As one say, the Trend is your Friend! Do not fight against the trend when it comes to trading or Investing! Tonnes of hard earned gains accumulated over the years could well be wiped off in an instant!

At the end of day, trade or invest with the trend rather than fighting it. One may not be able to time the market perfectly but at the minimum invest with proper risk management in place is the key to long term success.

Similarly, one needs to know when to cash out when the trend changes. No point be the hero. After all, IT'S YOUR MONEY!

Read This Only If You Are Serious In Changing Your Financial Life Forever!

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Have you ever wondered why some people seem to get rich easily, while others are destined for a life of financial struggle?

Over the years since we were a child, our minds have been conditioned to think a certain way about money and success. If you have not realized it, this is one of the most important factor affecting our finances today!

You need to unwind these conditioning, and learn how to identify and change your personal money and success blueprint, FOREVER!

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Should You Invest In Foreign Currency Account?

What is a Foreign Currency Account? Foreign currency account is essentially an account maintained in a financial institution in another currency other than the local currency. As most banks in Malaysia are offering this facility, you can easily open up one account, with normally the condition that you have an existing deposit account with the bank.

There are several purposes why one would require a Foreign Currency account, namely:

1. An account to hedge against foreign currency transactions whether in the form of business or personal use;
2. Higher yielding interest rates (e.g., Australian and New Zealand Dollar) compared to local interest rates;
3. Children education funding;
4. Individuals with sources of income from overseas;
5. Investment return
   

One should bear in mind the most important factor to consider is the direction of the foreign currency versus local currency, no matter what the purpose are. In other words, one should invest into foreign currency account only if there is a perception or expectation that the foreign currency will appreciate against local currency. Otherwise, the benefits of having a foreign currency account may well have been offset by a depreciating foreign currency even though one may gain from the supposedly higher yielding interest rates for instance.

In general, many have this perception that local currency will tend to depreciate over time but certainly this could be a false perception at times. Economic fundamentals and market sentiment definitely have a large role to play in the direction of currency strength. For instance, the value of Australian Dollar had in fact depreciated by more than 20% against Ringgit Malaysia early part of this year!

Therefore, it's important to study these factors before plunging into any foreign currency or open a foreign currency account.

There are generally two types of account, being call deposit and term deposit account. Call deposit is equivalent to a savings account and in most currency offered, there will be nominal interest rates computed daily credited month-end. Currently, US Dollar does not offer any interests. Term Deposit on the other hand is a fixed term deposit account whereby higher interest rates are given upon maturity.The term can range from 1 week to 12 months.

Locally in Malaysia, there is generally no fees charged for opening a foreign currency account. However, the catch is this.....the bank would have earned from you already the moment you open one due to the exchange rate spread between buy and sell rates. As such, don't be overly excited when the bank officer tells you that they do not charge any fees!

Options Trading Course By David Yuen Reviewed

David Yuen is a relative unknown in the options trading coaching world. A search of him in the internet has found hardly any information about himself or his credentials. Yet, David Yuen runs a low profile options trading coaching course (TeraOne) in Malaysia for about 3 years now (based on information given by David). David is also the founder of Teraoptions, an investment education center. Unlike the sort of publicity often generated by other options trading coaches such as Clemen Chiang from Singapore and Mirriam Mac Williams from the U.S. who both conduct respective coaching courses in this region.

Why I choose David over the others? Well, i believe the decision boils down to his presentation style.....Concise, straight to the point and most importantly, NO HYPE! Elsewhere, one could often hear about the possibility of becoming a millionaire by trading options or achieving sizzling returns in one day, etc but not from David. You will hear none of that! David in fact was frank enough to admit that this course does not guarantee success but is meant for those who work diligently and follow the rules and principles. On this point, unfortunately, David could not illustrate a better proof of success by inviting some of his ex-student to share their experiences and/or success, or illustrate to me his (successful) students' long term track record. David would certainly have reinforced his creditials better by introducing the above. So it remains to be seen whether how many of his students do make it a success!

After attending his course, my conclusion is that David is very sincere in teaching his students in his 20 hour course a practical guide and strategy to trading options, using a detailed step-by-step approach. His course includes the following:

- basic fundamental analysis using automated tools;
- basic technical analysis using support and resistance, and Japanese candlestick;
- Long Call and Put option strategy with emphasis particularly on risk reward ratio;
- Price charting;
- How to analyse Options such as fair value, volatility and greeks;
- Real interactive live training with the U.S market on the final day.

In conclusion, I would regard David's coaching as decent, practical, straight to the point and covers the essential elements of trading. However, the strategies presented are limited. In options trading, there are many other (around 66 of them!) powerful strategies such as spread, naked options, covered options, straddle, butterfly, etc., which cater for different trading scenarios and tactics. It is a regret that David does not cover these strategies.

David's rationale is that the best way for beginners to study options trading is to keep it simple. His reasoning being such that although the other strategies can be useful, they are also very complex in nature and deployment.

Ironically, David does not offer a more advanced course to his fellow students.

In a nutshell, I would rate David Yuen's Options Trading course as a diploma grade relative to a full-blown premium degree. Nevertheless, what David teaches is workable and does offer the practical knowledge and skills to trade successfully based on a certain limited strategy.

How To Predict Stock Market Movement Using Currency

Most traders use technical analysis to make a prediction the likely movement of stock market. For most layman, learning up technical analysis takes time and a fair amount of patience and technical interest. For most, they simply give up.

There is one other way of making advance predictions of stock market movement, and based on my observation, the correlation between the two is a pretty good one.

Take currency versus US Dollar comparison. When US Dollar gains strength against other currency, stock market will likely go down. On the contrary, the exact opposite movement (market rises) happens when US Dollar depreciates against other currency.

Take the following two examples (USD vs Ringgit and USD vs Singapore Dollar) to study the correlation:



Do you see the opposite trend being formed? It may not be the most perfect correlation but generally, it holds true.

To explain this, generally speaking it is a case of US Dollar demand is stronger during rising risk aversion (i.e., funds are risk averse to investing overseas and therefore more funds are repatriated to U.S.). On the other hand, US Dollar demand will be weakened when funds are more eager to invest overseas, thus outflow of funds from U.S.)

So if you would like to predict the day's market movement, study the currency strength versus US Dollar.

Options Trading For Beginners

Due to the current financial and economic crisis in U.S., I have started evaluating some stocks in the U.S. Before 2008, trading in U.S. stocks would certainly require deep pockets, particularly for myself due to my country's unfavourable exchange rates ($1 to RM3.5 on average). Never in my life could I imagine stocks in U.S. could one day be trading at such low prices! eg., financial giant like Citigroup trading below $1? GE trading below $6? There are many other examples, such as General Motors and AIG. Then of course, these stocks were trading at such low levels due to their own respective unprecedented crisis!

So I started putting some money into U.S. stocks and thankfully, i made some decent gains in a short period of time. Having a solid trading plan knowing when to enter and exit was the critical success factor. By the way, adopting buy and hold strategy no longer works these days in my opinion, due to the volatile nature of markets and frankly, no one knows for sure whether the markets have bottomed. So why take on the risk of hitting the unknown?

Precisely. But here's a problem. Investing in U.S. stocks means that I will still need to pump in a sizeable amount of money to trade (bearing in mind my unfavourable exchange rate)! There comes to my mind options trading which I had heard so many times before but have very little knowledge of. Options trading utilises the power of leveraging on stocks and is a very powerful form of derivative instrument. So powerful that even Mr. Warren Buffett is fearful of (as he recently criticised as one of the major cause of stock market crash).

As I recalled, I had contemplated to learn options trading in June last year but I dropped the notion because I was not ready then (Please refer to my archived post entitled "Do I Need Options"). Now I believe I am ready to explore this new frontier (new, at least for me...) and to uncover it's perceived power of leveraging and to unlock the myth of successful options trading.

Haven't attended numerous previews of Options Trading learning courses in the past and feedback from numerous ex-students and friends who ventured into options trading, I was certainly skeptical on which Options Trading trainer or course would actually deliver the goods. My attempted research through the internet was of little benefit too as no website content would reveal satisfactory practical knowledge on options trading. Finally, I had little choice but to take a calculated gamble by learning from a fee-based course.

Next I shall reveal which course I have selected and my ground up review.

Shall I Accept A Lower Loan Installment?

In view of the current low interest rates environment due to global economic crisis, costs of borrowings have become cheaper and if we were to base on the original loan facility agreement with the bank, the repayment period for the affected loans will be shortened, assuming the same amount of installment were to be paid each month. In some countries, banks are required to voluntarily reduce the monthly installment amount of loans so that the repayment period will not be shortened. In some cases, banks even allow troubled borrowers to stop payment for a specific period of time, or willingly negotiate with the borrower to restructure the terms of loan. The objective of this is simple, that is, reduce the burden on consumers and/or businesses in a challenging time like this.

Some people have sought my opinion whether to accept the reduction in installment amount. My answer to that is why not, even if one has no financial difficulties! After all, one could save a fair amount of commitment each month and assuming one has multiple loans (like myself), the amount of savings each month can be quite sizeable.

There are many advantages reduced commitment can bring to the equation. Among them include:
- excess funds for spending on goods and services. Flow of funds and spending are essential for the growth of economy. An environment without consumer and business spending will just make the already stale situation worse off!

- pay off debts which carry a higher interest rates than one's mortgage loan. Credit card debt is an obvious example. This could lead to significant savings in cost of debt.

- best of all, use the savings from the excess funds to invest wisely. Given that many investment grade assets have been bashed down badly during the past one to two years, great bargains are abundant! For instance, stockmarket is expected to give the best return once the global economy recovers. So for those who have not acquired the knowledge of investing, now is the best time to educate yourself, before it's too late!

Also, keeping extra cash in your pocket at the time of crisis is definitely a wise thing to do. After all, we will not know what may happen next. For instance, job retrenchment, business failure, etc, may just pop up down the road, especially if the economy gets worsen.

One word of caution though, do not expect every bank will voluntarily reduce the installment for you. I know for some banks, you will actually have to write in to request for the reduction. So do not just assume this will be done automatically. Go ASK YOUR BANK now!

8 Reasons Why Obama Will Not Solve This Crisis

JS Kim does it again! With his unorthodox assessments and predictions (that often come true, i have to say!), here are 8 reasons why he thinks the Obama administration will not pull America and the world with it, out of its current economic throes, by the end of this year!

(1) Consider that President-elect Obama voted FOR the horrible $700 billion bailout plan that accomplished less than zero in fixing the global economy while only transferring wealth from people that were struggling the most to the unethical financial executives that created this problem.

These were my exact words in October, 2008, verbatim, about the eventual effect of the bailout plan: “Don’t believe the media spin. This will fix nothing. Even if and when the government overpays Wall Street and US banks by 300%, 500% and 1000% for their toxic assets, this temporarily recapitalizes these financial institutions but only creates A MUCH BIGGER PROBLEM for the future.”

If I understood why the bailout plan would most definitely fail, and the next President of the United States could not, that is a scary thought. On the other hand, if President Obama understood that the bailout plan would likely accomplish nothing but the transference of wealth from hard-working citizens to corrupt financial executives and still voted for the bill, then this action needs no further discourse.

(2) The problems afflicting the global economy still have not yet been addressed by any Central Bank or government in any intelligent manner and thus, are not on the path to recovery. No single man, no matter how competent and no matter how much goodwill he possesses worldwide, can fix this current crisis without severely overhauling the current fiat monetary system. There has been zero evidence thus far, that the Obama administration wishes to address the root problem of this crisis – an unsound monetary system.

(3) This crisis is being misreported by virtually every finance journalist in the world due to an education system that teaches an unsound Keynesian economic model at every top university in the world. From the Obama administration’s actions thus far, it is clear that he is taking a Keynesian approach in his attempt to fix the problem, which is to spend your way out of an economic meltdown. The only problem is that any “fix” that may result from such an approach will be 100% illusory and only result in further destruction of wealth by ensuring future devaluation of the world’s major currencies.

(4) Thus far, President Obama’s cabinet appointments do not reflect, in the slightest manner, the enormous change that he spoke of during his campaign. On the contrary, his talk of change, quite honestly, appears to be 100% rhetoric. A clear example of this is President Obama’s appointment of Timothy Geithner, the former President of the New York branch of the U.S. Federal Reserve, to the U.S. Secretary of Treasury, and his appointment of Paul Volcker (Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, 1979-1987; Chairman of the New York investment banking firm, J. Rothschild, Wolfensohn & Co.; Chairman of the Board of Trustees of the Washington-based financial advisory body, the Group of Thirty; founding member of the Trilateral Commission; and Chairman of the Board of Trustees of the New York-based International House) to head his economic advisory board.

A further inspection of Obama’s economic advisory board reveals a who's who of executives from the institutions that created this current mess!

Furthermore, Volcker was highly instrumental in ensuring one of the worst decisions in economic history, the U.S. decision to suspend gold convertibility in 1971 that subsequently allowed a 100% fraudulent monetary system to spread globally, and consequently almost resulted in the collapse of the U.S. dollar in the late 1970s. Obama’s cabinet appointments are perhaps the most damning evidence that he is strictly about maintaining the status quo and not at all about change when it comes to Wall Street.

(5) For a historical example of how the Obama experiment is likely to turn out, please research the election campaign of Mexican President Vicente Fox (Mexico’s President from 2000-2006). Vicente Fox was largely perceived as a savior among the Mexican general masses because he was the first opposition candidate to defeat the PRI (Institutional Revolutionary Party), a party that had ruled Mexico for more than 70 years. Fox’s election campaign, full of slogans like “Vote for Change" and “Enough!", could have served as a blueprint for Barack Obama’s masterful election campaign. By the time Fox’s six years of Presidency had expired, he was widely regarded as a huge disappointment for failing to implement almost every major plan of change he promised during his campaign and doing very little to change the status quo.

(6) Don’t let President Obama’s professed anger regarding the $165 million of bonuses slotted for AIG executives fool you. The U.S. government clearly changed security laws at their whim last year by making short selling of financial stocks illegal for periods at a time to artificially force financial stock prices higher and thus, help out financial executives, with little opposition. Thus if the President and U.S. Congress’ anger about these bonuses are real, it seems to me that they would just implement new laws to end fraudulent bonuses. They would just “do” instead of keep “trying.”

(7) Why wasn’t the expressed outrage of the Obama administration regarding $3.6 billion of bonuses that Bank of America (BAC) paid to Merrill Lynch (MER) executives, a figure that dwarfs $165 million, equivalent to the outrage being expressed over the AIG bonuses? Something tells me that because AIG is not a pillar of Wall Street it is receiving harsher treatment. I’m not arguing against this harsher treatment by any means. I’m merely illuminating that the hypocrisy in these different standards is an indictment that Wall Street firms’ ties to the U.S. government are so strong that they are still being favored despite the rhetoric.

(8) Remember when former U.S. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson’s original $700 bailout bill was a 3-page document and he promised that no money would be spent without extremely close supervision? Remember how this 3-page bill mysteriously morphed into a 450-page $850 billion bailout, and loopholes galore were snuck into this new bill last minute so that billions of the bailout money could be allocated for executive bonuses although Paulson promised us such shenanigans would not occur? Remember that Obama voted for this bill!

Here you have it. Time will tell whether his views are proven valid. If indeed correct, it is a scary thought that the world economy will take some more beating before the dust finally settles.

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