Friday, September 5, 2008

Currency Depreciation: A Fine Line Between Poorer and Richer


From 1997 (the year of Asian financial crisis) to 2005, my country's currency (Ringgit) had depreciated by around 50% against the US Dollar! That effectively more or less dented my pocket's purchasing power by half, and that's a very huge quantum! Not only imported goods were more expensive, it also increased the cost of travel and doing business overseas!

In 2005, the Government finally decided to do the "right" thing by floating Ringgit against a basket of global currencies, thereby allowing the currency to gradually adjust itself against global forces (to a certain extent) and as such, the currency has gradually appreciated in value (against US Dollar) from the exchange rate of 3.8 (to every dollar) in the year 2005 to around 3.1 at the beginning of 2008, aided by the weakening US Dollar due to US financial crisis. That effectively "enriched" my purchasing power by closed to 20% whenever i travel to countries where US Dollar is commonly used or accepted, or buying imported goods. Things were looking rosy as the projection by some authorities was that it could touch 3.0 by year-end and even better in 2009!

However, how things have changed for the worse, within just over a period of five months! First it was the political uncertainties, followed by the Government's infamous decision to levy 30% windfall tax on the Power Industry and the latest decision by again the Government to increase public expenditure for year 2009 to sustain the country's economic growth amidst economic slowdown, which ultimately lead to the dumping of Malaysia Ringgit and the outflow of foreign funds! The currency has now effectively depreciated half way between 3.8 and 3.1, and the outlook is not looking good until the foreseeable future!

In the midst of current high inflation and economic slowdown, a depreciating currency is like adding salt to the wounds!

Ironically, it's certainly a good wake-up call for me personally that perhaps it's time for me to work harder to earn more US Dollar instead of Ringgit, so that i can salvage my financial position from a "poorer" to a "richer" state!

Thankfully, the internet has provided me the ideal platform to do just that!

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